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Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 25, 2017

November 25, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Karma King 4.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Airfoil 2.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Indavidualist 5.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Overcomer 3.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 My Secret Affair 15.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Private Prospect 15.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Frac Candy 4.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Proud Zoning 20.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
15 15 Dr. Ann 6.00 3.6 7-1 Scr
7 7 Paved 3.00 4 8-1
1 1 Polished 3.50 4.6 9-1
16 16 Mandy’s Grace 10.00 6.4 12-1 Scr
12 12 Temple Princess 8.00 6.7 13-1
13 13 Slick Trick 10.00 7.6 14-1 Scr
3 3 Ippodamia’s Girl 4.50 7.7 15-1
4 4 Rancor 12.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Bunny Yogurt 8.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Scat Home Lady 8.00 8.6 16-1
10 10 All Net 15.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Pacific Strike 30.00 9.4 18-1
6 6 Party Dancer 20.00 11.3 21-1
11 11 Prairie Citizen 15.00 13.1 25-1
14 14 Roses and Candy 20.00 13.6 26-1 Scr
2 2 Heaven Escape 30.00 13.9 26-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 7 Saint Dermot 6.00 2 4-1
1 1 Tribal Jewel 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Out of Patience 3.00 4 8-1
7 6 Dukes Up 3.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Backintheacademy 8.00 4.9 9-1 Scr
3 3 Beaumarchais 4.50 5.7 11-1
2 2 Tisdale 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 Muchos Besos 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Spanish Hombre 3.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Tristan’s Trilogy 4.50 2.9 5-1
15 15 Mr. Opportunist 0.00 5.1 10-1 Scr
11 11 Lazzam (GB) 6.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Dr. Troutman 12.00 6.6 12-1
14 14 Defiantly 0.00 7.7 15-1 Scr
6 6 Air Vice Marshal 5.00 7.9 15-1
13 13 Terrys Tom Cat 5.00 8.6 16-1 Scr
10 10 Temple Keys 8.00 8.7 16-1
16 16 Oscar Dominguez (IRE) 10.00 8.9 17-1 Scr
9 9 Soglio 6.00 9.9 19-1
4 4 Dark Energy 20.00 10.3 19-1
12 12 Ice Kat 20.00 10.6 20-1
7 7 Saltini 10.00 10.7 20-1
1 1 Malibu Music 20.00 11 21-1
5 5 Eldritch (IRE) 20.00 14.5 27-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Native Diver S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Mubtaahij (IRE) 2.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Curlin Rules 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Irish Freedom 3.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Prime Attraction 5.00 4 8-1
7 7 Irish Surf 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Top of the Game 2.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Wild About Deb 15.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 The Street Fighter 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Guy Code 15.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Getoffmyback 3.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Eight Spokes 4.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Boy Howdy 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Packin Heat 20.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Swiss Minister 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 One I’m Running To 12.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Nap Lajoie 8.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Hollywood Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Sharp Samurai 2.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Mo Town 3.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Big Score 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Channel Maker 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Ritzy A. P. 20.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Souper Tapit 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Just Howard 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Ann Arbor Eddie 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Bowies Hero 6.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Nero 0.00 1.3 2-1 Scr
6 5 Samdar 3.00 3.1 6-1
9 8 Camby 15.00 3.6 7-1
10 9 Concur 3.50 3.7 7-1
8 7 Praetorian 4.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Studly Perfection 12.00 4.3 8-1
11 10 Kris’ Rocket Kat 4.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 California King 20.00 5.9 11-1
7 6 Mo Over 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 4 Tidal Effect 8.00 7.1 14-1
12 11 Bourbon Dude 20.00 7.1 14-1
13 13 Optic 0.00 7.3 14-1 Scr
4 3 Real Quick 20.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Jimmy Durante S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
13 12 Fatale Bere (FR) 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 6 Ever So True 12.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Casino Red (IRE) 12.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 One Fast Broad 12.00 5.9 11-1 Scr
12 11 Thewayiam (FR) 6.00 5.9 11-1
10 9 Just a Smidge 15.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Daddy Is a Legend 4.50 6.3 12-1
11 10 Data Dependent 6.00 7.4 14-1
9 8 Sappho (IRE) 15.00 8 15-1
6 5 Multiplayer 20.00 8.3 16-1
5 4 Raucous 5.00 8.6 16-1
4 3 Lexington Grace (IRE) 15.00 11.3 21-1
8 7 Deep Breath (IRE) 20.00 11.6 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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