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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 3, 2017

December 3, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Delta Outlaw 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Guick 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Dearie 12.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Cuckoo’s Saloon 20.00 3.8 7-1 Scr
7 6 Professor Snape 1.40 3.8 7-1
4 3 Archie 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Thirsty Donnerstag 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Brattata 1.60 1.7 3-1
2 2 No Deal 3.50 2.7 5-1
9 9 Celebrity Glitter 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Coffee Crush 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Beyond Grace 5.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Areyoucominghere 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Burak 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Sweet Sting 12.00 8 15-1
1 1 Ballston 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Soar From Shadows 10.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Lezendary 2.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Dream Pauline 3.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Mo Wine 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Our Hope Diamond 12.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Warrior of Light 4.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
11 9 Catapult Jack 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Cavallotto 5.00 3.5 7-1
9 7 St. Patrick Frost 20.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Pence 2.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Barefoot Angel 3.50 5.2 10-1 Scr
1 1 Luzinski 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 5 Shipsandgoods 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Pimm’s Cup 20.00 6.8 13-1
10 8 Lobbyist 30.00 7.7 14-1
8 8 Dublin Express 30.00 8.7 16-1 Scr
5 4 Pom Freight 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Borsa Vento 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 One of a Kind 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Bartleby 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Mister Henry Lee 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Son of Mine 4.00 5 9-1
1 1 Northern Grey 3.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Adirondack Dream 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 5 Runaway Posse 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Yummy Bear 2.50 3.5 7-1
9 7 Lord of Love 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Chateau de Vizille 6.00 4.5 9-1 Scr
8 6 Mini Miles 3.50 5.5 10-1
4 3 Attribute 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Cinderela El Crome 3.00 6 11-1 Scr
6 4 Pocket Change 5.00 6.5 12-1
3 2 Hardened 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Puparee 15.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Pinchbeck 3.50 2.8 5-1
9 9 Tiz a Kitten 12.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Out of Trouble 4.00 4.5 9-1
11 11 Cotton Candy Cutie 1.60 5.8 11-1 Scr
5 5 Eighth Commandment 20.00 6 11-1
4 4 War Canoe 3.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Five Each Way 12.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Tiz R Bella 5.00 8.2 15-1
10 10 Hardly Mate 10.00 9 17-1
3 3 Connie A 8.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 5 Achnaha (IRE) 3.50 2 4-1
2 1 In the Lee 1.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Thirstforthecup 1.80 3.5 7-1 Scr
4 4 Crimson Frost 2.00 5.3 10-1 Scr
6 4 Al Hayyah (IRE) 12.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Smile Big 5.00 6.2 12-1 Scr
3 2 Taralena 3.00 6.5 12-1
8 6 Skyluck 20.00 6.8 13-1
5 3 Glory to Kitten 6.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
11 11 Not in Charge 2.50 1 2-1
12 12 Patriot Drive 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Fuel the Bern 5.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Rappel 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Hembree 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Shamcat 12.00 6 11-1
10 10 King of Spades 20.00 7 13-1
3 3 Mr. Dougie Fresh 12.00 7 13-1
7 7 Caribbean 6.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Brianbakescookies 12.00 8 15-1
5 5 Nutzforboltz 20.00 10.7 20-1
8 8 Wingman 15.00 11.3 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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