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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 7, 2017

December 7, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 9 Out of Nowhere 6.00 2 4-1 Scr
2 2 She’s Cookin 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 Grandpa’s Arianna 2.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Holyholyholy 20.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Purrageous Dyna 15.00 5 9-1
3 3 Jacqueline D 4.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Desert Affair 8.00 6 11-1
1 1 Cetara 3.50 6.7 13-1
8 8 Lady Love 20.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 5 Pico Chick 3.50 1.7 3-1
4 3 Bon Heir 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Clairvoyant Lady 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Familyofroses 12.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Wildcat Belle 1.80 3.7 7-1 Scr
5 4 Da Wildcat Girl 10.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Polar City 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Alpha Team 2.00 2 4-1
6 6 Big Auk 20.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Champagne Papi 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Mr. Sultana 4.00 5 9-1
2 2 General J C 20.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 The Donald Problem 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 2 Bayshore Beauty 3.00 1.7 3-1
4A 3 Sugarille 1.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 Spa Treatment 4.00 2.7 5-1
2A 2 Magari 1.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
1 1 Overtime Olivia 12.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Tizza Temper 5.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Frosty Gal 2.50 1.3 3-1
2 2 Robin’s Destiny 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Decorator Jenn 2.00 3 6-1
4 4 Classic Stones 12.00 4 8-1
7 7 Terralsole 10.00 5 9-1
5 5 Cats Halo 6.00 6 11-1
1 1 Lady Rullah 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Truly a Moon Shot 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Indian Soldier 20.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Alaapatique 20.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Here and There 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Killybegs Captain 6.00 5 9-1
6 6 Northern 5.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Polar Jet 2.50 5.7 11-1
4 4 Holding Aces 4.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 5 Munchkin Money 2.00 2.7 5-1
10 6 Itsinthestars 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 3 Vicki’s Dancer 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 4 First Appeal 2.50 3.7 7-1
9 9 Unrepented 4.00 6 11-1 Scr
3 3 Timely Tradition 3.00 6.7 13-1 Scr
4 2 True Charm 12.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Court Dancer 1.60 7 13-1 Scr
1 1 Startwithsilver 5.00 7.3 14-1 Scr
2 1 Barrier to Entry 3.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Devine Union 3.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Bogulator 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Naples Parade 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Tanzania Road 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 Greatreviews 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Total Control 4.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Sleigh Ride 10.00 6.3 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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