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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 9, 2017

December 9, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Honor Up 1.00 1.3 3-1
8 7 Iron Johnny 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Magnetron 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 Honor Mission 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Sicilia Sal 20.00 5 9-1
1 1 Imaginar 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Carmine’s Honor 10.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Save the Sangria 20.00 7 13-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 6 Baratti 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Toohottoevenspeak 6.00 3.5 7-1 Scr
2 2 Run for James 15.00 5 9-1 Scr
7 5 Lone Trader 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 1 Brianbakescookies 8.00 6.5 12-1
5 3 Manifest Destiny 3.50 6.7 13-1
13 13 Devine Dental 3.50 7.2 14-1 Scr
4 2 Son of Oahu 6.00 7.3 14-1
6 4 Sparty Boy 8.00 7.7 14-1
9 7 Acoustic 3.00 7.8 15-1
10 8 Zigarch 6.00 9.2 17-1
12 12 Conquest Expresso 5.00 9.2 17-1 Scr
11 11 The Orphan Miracle 8.00 12 23-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Poshsky 2.50 2.7 5-1
2A 2 J S Bach 1.80 2.7 5-1
4 4 Old Upstart 3.00 2.8 5-1
5A 5 For Greater Glory 1.80 3.2 6-1 Scr
6 5 Chilly Bon Bon 12.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Two Down One to Go 4.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Caoimhe 4.00 1.5 3-1
11 10 Blue Eyes 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Nyromaniac 8.00 4.5 9-1 Scr
7 6 Status Asthmaticus 12.00 5 9-1
8 7 Speedy Analysis 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Netti’s Legacy 5.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Tiz Anna Rae 3.00 6 11-1
3 3 Desert Jazz 15.00 6.5 12-1
10 9 Vip Nation 15.00 6.8 13-1
9 8 Hot Possebility 15.00 8.2 15-1
12 11 Caribbean Girl 10.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Girlie’s Dream 30.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 8 Reedini 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 2 Archival 2.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 Mr. Euro 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Howie’s Tiz 20.00 4.2 8-1 Scr
2 1 Royal Burgh 15.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 Tottie Royer 50.00 5.5 10-1
5 4 Competitiveness 2.50 6.5 12-1
8 7 Ten Twenty Nine 10.00 7.7 14-1
4 3 Archivero 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Bavaro 2.50 2.2 4-1
4 3 Giantinthemoonlite 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Global Positioning 10.00 4 8-1 Scr
7 6 My Boy Tate 1.60 4.5 9-1
5 4 Samadi Sky 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Bigshotinthenews 20.00 5 9-1
6 5 Brimstone 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 E J’s Legacy 15.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 D’yer Mak’er 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Discretionary Marq 3.00 4 8-1
11 10 Benevolence 3.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Outrageous Bet 6.00 5.2 10-1
13 13 For Pops 10.00 5.5 10-1 Scr
10 9 Mission Command 2.50 6.2 12-1
6 6 Awesome Heart 20.00 6.8 13-1
9 8 Fled 8.00 7.2 14-1
8 7 Ross Boss 15.00 7.8 15-1
12 11 Lenny 8.00 8 15-1
7 7 Source Control 10.00 10.3 20-1 Scr
1 1 Louisiana Lady 12.00 11.2 21-1
5 5 Formal Start 30.00 12.2 23-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Garland Of Roses S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Quezon 1.80 2.3 4-1
3 3 Absatootly 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Fusaichi Red 12.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Picco Uno 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Ms Locust Point 3.00 4.2 8-1 Scr
7 7 Friend of Liberty 8.00 4.7 9-1 Scr
2 2 Kalabaka 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
13 13 Missimpazi 2.00 1.5 3-1 Scr
3 3 Velvet Trinni 3.00 3 6-1
7 7 Forever Dreams 5.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Lady Bountiful 3.50 4 8-1
8 8 Molly’s Nighthawk 10.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Dancingwthdaffodls 5.00 7 13-1
1 1 Very Charming 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 Hug the Rail 20.00 8 15-1
2 2 Flatliner 20.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Reyana Reya Dreams 50.00 9.2 17-1
12 12 Beautiful Buzz 6.00 9.3 18-1
6 6 Classy Cara 20.00 9.7 18-1
5 5 I Admire You 20.00 10.8 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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