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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 14, 2017

December 14, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Special Dividend 1.80 2.3 4-1
5 5 Frostie Anne 1.60 2.6 5-1
3 3 Objective Complete 3.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Champagne Ruby 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Cats Halo 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Solitary Gem 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Acquainted 2.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Timeless Beauty 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Gangbusters 4.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Karen’s Gem 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Bird Key 10.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Foreign Affair 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Dynamic War 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Three Eighty Eight 2.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Special Risk 2.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Lethal Legacy 8.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Stone Cold Flirt 1.00 2 4-1
1 1 My Roxy Girl 5.00 3 6-1
4 4 Mojito Margarita 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Midnight Sky 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Morgan’s Z Va 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Tenacious Rose 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hey Jabber Jaw 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Celtic Chaos 2.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Angry Moon 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Do Share 2.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Lex Vegas 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Candid Desire 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4A 4 Deed to the Bank 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Lucky Bug 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Got the Gist 1.60 1.8 3-1
5 4 Forever Rising 2.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Princess Mikayah 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Dune Buggy 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Chapel Party 12.00 4.6 9-1
2A 2 Bank Elaboration 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 In It for the Gold 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Honor Way 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Harkness 3.50 2.8 5-1
9 8 Come Dancing 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Bow Town Cat 12.00 4.5 8-1
8 7 Tiz the Light 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Play Me a Memory 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Angel Food 10.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Tiz Rae Anna 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Hopper Dropper 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Forge 3.00 2.5 5-1
7A 7 May Be a Diamond 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Noble and True 2.50 3.1 6-1
3A 3 Light the Vow 4.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Asphalt Paving 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Mineralogy 10.00 5.5 10-1
9 8 Holland Road 8.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Quai Voltaire 12.00 7.3 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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