December 29, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Secret Wonder | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Operatic | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bid List | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Smok’n Rita | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Liberty Lady | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tiffany Ofthe Nile | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Thief | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Private Time | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moroccan Warrior | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Don’t Blame Dexter | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flashy Smile | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Drakarys | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shaded | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Greeley | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Babalight | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Laurens Flash Back | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | D’amazing Amy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Flash Copy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Becca’s Whisper | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Hashtag Fake News | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Space Cowgirl | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Honest Woman | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Honest Smile | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Leah Camille | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | I’ll Show Y’all | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dr. Frankie Kaye | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hop In | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ted’s Folly | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tiz a Par | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Catlab | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | He’s a Super Jet | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mr. Shad | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just too Smart | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Malagra Vision | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jazz Talk | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Udoknowjack | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Miss Silky Stone | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Scottish Bu | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Rate | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tee Shaw | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Doc’s Rocket | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Theboyzblues | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Along Came Macey | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Top Dollar | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cute Little Mess | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Risque | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dixieland Flash | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mine Mine | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Uncle Bird | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Off On Holiday | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dewey’s Sunshine | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Maurice | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Error Code | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mickchievous | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sandana Heat | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pummy | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cadillac Carter | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Halos Prayer | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Hero | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Theboyzgrand Kis | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Costa Sugar | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Elody | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midge’s Magic | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Striscetta | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s a Smart Cat | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Impazible Pat | 4.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vitt Bitt | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Remember Carlos | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana Lily | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Stratocruiser | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Randy Paul | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Flit N Time | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Proper Decorum | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Colonel Cody | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Angie’s Bling | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Salutetheprince | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tee Brown | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Ganges | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | U S Officer | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | La Mistake | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tether | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Cowgirl | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Taylor | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Old Fashion Amour | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just a Bandit | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fleet Halo | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Trail My Tail | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cristals Candy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Be the Light | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mob Posse | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | A Little Different | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Power Strike | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz the Blues | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Terms | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Get It to Geaux | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oklahoma Lizzie | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Goodeagle | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Poppa Stoppa | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.