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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 14, 2018

January 14, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Loose 1.40 2.3 4-1
3 3 Expressly 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Andesine 2.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Road to Perfection 4.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Special Risk 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 B Three 12.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pico Chick 1.80 SCRATCH
6 5 Maddizaskar 2.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Josephine’s Moment 10.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Eighth Commandment 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Loyal Heart 15.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 Perina’s Pride 3.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Why Not Be Sexy 30.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Causeway Cutie 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Warrior of Light 1.80 2.9 6-1
4 4 Lezendary 3.50 2.9 6-1
6 6 String Section 2.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Sierra Aleone 4.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 My Rose of Savanna 12.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Neon 8.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Nonna’s Boy 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Tiznoble 2.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Sir Bond 4.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Marriage Fever 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Ring Necked 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Two Down One to Go 5.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Milo Milo (ARG) 8.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Benny Big Boy 30.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Chosen One Elijah 50.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Vip Nation 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Climb the Ladder 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 My Luciana Rose 8.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Lady Bountiful 10.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Embrace the Chaos 5.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Giant Boxer 3.50 5.5 10-1
9 9 Desert Jazz 12.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Tiz Anna Rae 6.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Status Asthmaticus 15.00 6.1 11-1
10 10 Little Nanny 15.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Nyromaniac 20.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Sweet Breeze 30.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 You Like That 20.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Driven West 1.40 2.2 4-1
1 1 Noble and True 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Mr. Euro 3.50 3.4 6-1
4 3 Honor and Pleasure 6.00 4.5 8-1
8 7 Skeet Shot 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 My Perfect Gem 20.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Snowfly 30.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 The Great Samurai 4.50 SCRATCH
10 10 New York Boy 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Swivel 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Here Comes Tommy 6.00 3.1 6-1
11 9 J J’s Dreaming 3.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Prophet’s Cat 12.00 4.5 8-1
9 8 Dublinthepleasure 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Holy Week 10.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Lucky Lou Pal 15.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Awesome Heart 30.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Quai Voltaire 15.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – East View S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 English Soul 3.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Midnight Disguise 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Cryinthemoonlight 4.00 4 7-1
7 7 Aunt Babe 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Purely Lucky 5.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Cause We Are Loyal 10.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Miss Mystique 12.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Trinni Ninja 20.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Miss Jen 20.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Violent Fit 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Cathy Naz 2.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Orchid Party 3.00 3.1 6-1
11 11 Northernstreetgal 6.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Gentle Annie 20.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Frosty On the Case 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Classy Cara 10.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Pretty River 20.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Irish Glitter 20.00 7.1 14-1
4 4 Broadway Girl 15.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Hug the Rail 30.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Princess Rashelle 30.00 9.2 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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