Site icon Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 19, 2018

January 19, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Star Empire (GB) 10.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Baratti 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 4 Conquest Expresso 2.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 California Swing 3.00 3.4 7-1
8 7 Spring Emperor 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Bunyaan 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Son of Oahu 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Helical Spring 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9B 9 Impazible Creek 1.80 SCRATCH
10 9 Tough Old Bird 3.00 3 6-1
6B 6 Impazible Woman 1.80 3 6-1
8A 8 Catchmewithasmile 3.50 3.6 7-1
11 10 Mazmania 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Desert Affair 6.00 5.2 10-1
1A 1 Lookin Kinda Crazy 3.50 6.4 12-1
7 7 You Promise 30.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Carlisle Belle 10.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Wanna Be Regal 50.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Tiffany’s Vision 20.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Miss Hot Stones 1.20 SCRATCH
5 4 Pauseforthecause 3.50 2.4 4-1
6 5 She’s Delightful 12.00 3.5 7-1
3 2 Beautiful Buzz 4.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Stone Cold Flirt 15.00 4 8-1
1 1 My Roxy Girl 5.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Diamond Jen Brady 20.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Simona 3.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Thirsty Bird 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Dancingwthdaffodls 2.50 3.9 7-1
9 8 Megalopsychia 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 2 My Last Million 4.50 4.5 9-1
2 1 Parlapiano 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Card Doll 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Caribbean Girl 20.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 Shezerfirst 30.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Groton St Scout 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bahnahno 30.00 SCRATCH
11 9 The Cake Is a Lie 3.50 2.8 5-1
12 10 Passporttovictory 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 6 Anna Rae 4.50 4.2 8-1
13 11 Tiz Super 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 5 Jump for Joy 5.00 4.9 9-1
9 7 Holy Gold 20.00 5.3 10-1
10 8 Shezastraybullet 50.00 7 13-1
4 2 Party Spot 10.00 7.3 14-1
6 4 Jetsam Six 8.00 7.7 14-1
2 1 Diamonds N Stones 30.00 7.7 15-1
5 3 Persky’s Spirit 50.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Scorpion Bowl 2.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 Queen Apollo 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Puffery 3.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Iridescent Morn 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Sunshine Gal 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Breezy Gal 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 My Lightnin Strike 15.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Sundance Joy 30.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Isotope 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Gobi 2.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Christmas Sky 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Dune Buggy 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Hexameter 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Reckless Humor 2.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Untaken 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Questeq 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – La Verdad S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Holiday Disguise 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Quezon 1.40 3 6-1
7 6 Bee Noteworthy 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Absatootly 3.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 She’s All Ready 30.00 4 7-1
5 4 Wonderment 12.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Palladian Bridge 15.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Motown Sound 10.00 SCRATCH
11 10 American Road 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Paid Admission 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Bluegrass Singer 4.50 4.4 8-1
9 8 Try Flying 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Pirellone 5.00 4.7 9-1
10 9 Spin Cycle 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Big East 50.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Clever Soul 12.00 6.5 12-1
4A 4 Open Bar 15.00 7.5 14-1
1A 1 Sierra Sun 15.00 8.2 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version