January 31, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | One Drop | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Navy Typist | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nasty Critter | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Always a Wiseguy | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Time to Change | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wirey Won | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Two Mikes N Doc G | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drewmatic | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beyond Time | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Theboyzgalaxy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ardesia | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | She’s a Smart Cat | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz a Party | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sandy’s Wager | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Randijoegofordgold | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Call the Ghost | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Father of Storms | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kiss a Yankee | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noisy | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mamadancesinthesky | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Intimidators Girl | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | King Sniper | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Black Justice | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reddy to Bet | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oliver’s Prayer | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Run to Fame | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hawaiian Appeal | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flirtation Device | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Church of England | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Customized | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ethan’s Landing | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Salutetheprince | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sandana Heat | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zacksgotthis | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Cal | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Graceful | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jazz Talk | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Slideruler | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zamidue | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Empty Pages | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Orthodox River | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Cayenne | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cool Production | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Stormin Thru Dixie | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alex’s Turn | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crenshaw | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Ice Guy | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yes Im Tricky | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Summer Singer | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gentleman’s Prize | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Song N a Cat | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moment of Time | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Manofsass | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Rey Zarbyev | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Masculino | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Macandales | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Valiant City | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gunther | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stick | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Core Portfolio | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome J T | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Charming Afleet | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Howe Amazing | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just too Smart | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hewhofillsmyheart | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Classy and Rich | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Camrynsbigtimebaby | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Five Star Nap | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Best Bling | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Betitallwithpaul | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shez for You | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Linnie Laurine | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I Hope | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tsunami Girl | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Careless Whisper | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sunny Sister | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Favorite Promise | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bill’s Production | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Where Y’at Joe Joe | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mallory’s Bandit | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stormation | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Say Charlie | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Posse Dreamin | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Resilience of Love | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dixie Beat | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kenai Star | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Rate | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Worthy | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m a C Looker | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr Red Sensation | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Calmack | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Confederate Yell | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mob Posse | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ravengaff | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Bandit | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My New Guiter | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Half of Tip Tap | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Custom Bling | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elbert | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Louisiana Wildcat | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Im Moonstruck | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Personal Conflict | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stryker Man | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Posse On the Run | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Production Angel | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kiss Your Bride | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.