February 10, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Girl Annie | 0.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forever Rising | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Madeline’s Hope | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tequila Sunday | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Purrageous Dyna | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carlisle Belle | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Acoustic | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Great Samurai | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Star Empire (GB) | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peculiar Sensation | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lost Iron | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bunyaan | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sharpe and Ready | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Home Run Maker | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tilt | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Throw the Fade | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Broadway Bandit | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ballard High | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Killybegs Captain | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Buddy Anthony | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sicilia Mike | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Professor Snape | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holding Aces | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alaapatique | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | New Moon | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shipsandgoods | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | H Man | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Conquest Prankster | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rossie Val | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Appealing Henry | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Calculated Risker | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Formal Start | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cody’s Notes | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | St. Patrick Frost | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | New York Boy | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Versed | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | War Eagle’s Return | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Very Very Stella | 1.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Major League | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Will Did It | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Holland Road | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Jet Black | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Jimmy Winkfield S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Devine Entry | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A Different Style | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jumpmaster | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | California Night | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Global Citizen | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smooth B | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glennwood | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lady Constance | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Exchanging Secrets | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dean’s Ticket | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marnesia Big Girl | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lil Renegade | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perina’s Pride | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Slam Chowder | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Causeway Cutie | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Glotona Again | 30.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.