February 15, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | My Book | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Daddy’s Placer | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Operatic | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ipidate | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tapnow | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | And Yet Another | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jack Flush High | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vox Populi | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Money Max | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Personal Double | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Ricky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Charming Afleet | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dixie Beat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Wicked Rascal | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Contrip | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bristol Rover | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rooster Bullet | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kate’s Dancer | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mighty Intimidator | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Masster Chief Ron | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Toss the Tub | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Angelic Score | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Andy’s Legacy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Don’t Tell Sarah | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Jet Marshall | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Huffs Untouchable | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shermaesque Flag | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mighty T | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cash for Glory | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Smartica Song | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Izzy B Winn | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jac’s All Mine | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Corey’sgoldentouch | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lariat’s Interest | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gallatin Girl | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Baby Customs | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | M. B.’s Vow | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Twice a Rebel | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Crickadee | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Slick Rulers | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Labelhermyprayer | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wild Appointment | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crown Express | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Along Came Macey | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | D’ Wildamber | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tags to Riches | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Honest Woman | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Emery Skye | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Singing Ontherail | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classy Brynn | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Safe Keeping | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Becky’s Dude | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mac’s Monster | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zionica | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Doxontherox | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady King | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Madam’s Dancing | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sandy’s Wager | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tax Money | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flashy Attitude | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ulm | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | That’s a Song | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Regal Heiress | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Elody | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I B Sweet | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mona’s Dream | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Good Call | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s a Penalty | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Summer’s Due | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Atdabarwithmerrill | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Alexander | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Callitwhatyawant | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Five Card Congress | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Theycalledhimbig | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Awesome Dancing | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | L. A. Hoss | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Hoga | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Little Mario | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gabanator | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Leestown Blues | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 6 | Zella Rose | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Inspeightofyou | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ring Me Up | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lunar Approach | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crown and Seven | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cause You Can | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Mizz Tutu | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mil Mil | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Soul Affair | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Humor’s Reward | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shiner’s Half Moon | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Summerderby | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fu Flew | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bubbassecondchance | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scott’s Song | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Run Trickey Run | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boston Bullet | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Bernadettes Vision | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Wise Journey | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Emelyn | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Creole Wildfire | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mila’s Gold | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Halo’s Majesty | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sarah’s Prayer | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cape Jasmine | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Abbie’s Parade | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Inalyze | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Double Angel | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.