February 17, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Great Value | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sivershow | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Stratocruiser | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Catlab | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Chief Envoy | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Udoknowjack | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Beau Gator | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lucky Cal | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lord Toccet | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Ribbon Box | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sebas Ranger | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bambini | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Miracle Master | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roundabout Robbie | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fear the Zodiac | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rigged | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bakota | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yours Alone | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mister Ander | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Hitter | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Custom Ridge | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rock Creek | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Windys Roadway | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wirey Won | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Final Argument | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rocky Toga | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ray’s King | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Ty’s Bandit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Crider Cash | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Mundo Mutadda | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Gun | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Rey Zarbyev | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Howe Amazing | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | He’s a Super Jet | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shedrow Cocktails | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Primary Patrick | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ben’s Magic Stone | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pioneering Native | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Forty Two | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Star Time | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Run to Fame | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Brylee’s Deelite | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Father George | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Whiskey Terms | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Promise Me Sleep | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Level Temper | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | D’digger | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Explosive Colin | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Doubleshotofcrown | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Church of England | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Romantic Stroll | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Flying Clever | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Linda Hunny | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ms Advisor | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Misty Sunrise | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Doc’s Rocket | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Salute Lillian | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Pat’s Girl | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Call It Luck | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Greta | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jewels of Sorce | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gia Mama Mia | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Better Data | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fashion Show | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sergeant Sue | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | No Small Bayou | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Rey | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bella Cajun | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yonna She Goes | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Running Unbridled | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Money | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harper Bee | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | U Thought U Got Me | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Westex | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Intimidators Girl | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Go Sal Go | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | My Bobbie Girl | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | She’s a Smart Cat | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz a Party | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yes Babe | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Costa Sugar | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Theboyzgalaxy | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Deep End | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Father of Storms | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Randijoegofordgold | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | Hook | 1.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Tap That Word | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 9 | Hero’s Divide | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Nana Looch | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Under and Over | 1.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 6 | D’urban Park | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Devil’s Pay | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Masculino | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Amerocko | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Commander Sport | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Shaboxxo | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Jo Allen’s Buddy | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Alex’s Turn | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Eagle Rising | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Star Rocket | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Holy Beau | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gentleman’s Prize | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ellerbe | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Donttakeitpersonal | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chatainbegood | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Valid Prospector | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Evan Lee G | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Highroller Man | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moment of Time | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sierra Victor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bluegrass Punch | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Shad | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Alabama Slim | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Stanton C | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Ringneckdove | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Peonari | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Low Places | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Gasolina | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Ronnie’s On | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.