February 21, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | One Drop | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Datboygofast | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Impish Babe | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A P Indy Is Gold | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iamalittlesassy | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beyond Time | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Two Mikes N Doc G | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Alex Autumn River | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Double | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Resilience of Love | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Zipcity | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warned | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Masterly | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jonas G. | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Adios Yankee | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mallory’s Bandit | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | You Have a Point | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dorkas | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Launchabind | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cat’s Hit | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kilasa | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dixie Valentine | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Indian Bayou | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Daylight Deelite | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady’s Tribute | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | I’ll Show Y’all | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Run Missy Run | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Stormy Goods | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | D’wildsummersfun | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Artist by the Sea | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Off On Holiday | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mickey | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bucky Boy | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pioneer’s Era | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jami Road | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One King Cat | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Summer’s Due | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Storming by Yawl | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Burning Runner | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | My New Guiter | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Walker the Wiz | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Zargaux | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Touchofjones | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mob Posse | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gardner’s Song | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Red Sensation | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Captain | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Southside Shorty | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cascade Indian | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Confederate Yell | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Commander | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jill’s Firebird | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Impulse | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Easy Geaux | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Val’s Pal | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sandy’s Wager | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honest Scarlet | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toni’s Vow | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rejoice an Be Glad | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shakeitifuluvme | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | East Lee | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Valley of the Hide | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Cristianstorm | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tee Brown | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | King’s Share | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | At Your Word | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | It’s All Up to You | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Honor Najran | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whistling Ranger | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sandana Heat | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Star | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | Unbraided | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Tor Con Six | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | No Game for Sissys | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wild Bert | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Northwoods Cat | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Classic Greeley | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Risky Steps | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Skylas Gold | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Roger Brown | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wicked Proud | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Flashy Smile | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Zanesville | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Major Brown | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magnanimus Man | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Back Stage Boy | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Notation | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Super Day | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Too Tall Tony | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Freedom Factor | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Cool Deal | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | This Aint Dallas | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Secret Wonder | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Velleity | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yes Way | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Straight | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | A P’s Diana | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Timeislikeariver | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Toga Dance | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Thief | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Angelic Gem | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Adieu My Baby | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.