February 22, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1A |
6 |
Roadtogold |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Swiftown Miss |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kodiak Sky |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
3 |
Anything But Amie |
2.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Cayman Dream |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Blessed Bloom |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Turkish Delight |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Big Band Annie |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
2 |
My Pepper Ann |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Swanky |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Queen of Gypsies |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Just a Bandit |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Imaginary Image |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Born to D’ Wild |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gunna Get Even |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cool Kitty |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Exotic Sin |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Quickfromthegitgo |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Grand Omega |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
5 |
Reddy to Bet |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
3 |
King Sniper |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
4 |
My Book |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
6 |
Tender Fender |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
2 |
Black Justice |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
1 |
Real Time |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
7 |
Pauley’s Star |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
10 |
8 |
Spiritualsensation |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Mizz Tutu |
0.80 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Bayou Queen |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Crowned Style |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Konawa Kween |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Striking Femme |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Pitcher |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
J J Queen |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Best Guess |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Branchwater |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
10 |
9 |
Quick Draw Ronnie |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Greeley’s Doll |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Bubble Time |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Sassy Mallory |
2.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Warsongchant |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
C R Fast Nitelite |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Our Bernattete |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Estrella |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
D’wild Irish Rose |
10.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Flower Child |
20.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
I’m a Great Rebel |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Swamp Production |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
El Lizann |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Biblical Strength |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Hook |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Leavethetip |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
8 |
Youve Got a Friend |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
10 |
9 |
Macandales |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Arkansas Martini |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Salute the C |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Drewsizzle |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
6 |
Recreational Use |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
One Survivor |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Zendelphian |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
5 |
4 |
Baraway |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Diamond Thief |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Awesome Zip |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
4 |
Honest Tina |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Sharp Henny |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Rwanda |
8.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Eight Grand |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Suzie’s Dream |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ease On West |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Audacious Angel |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Shakti |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
10 |
9 |
Daria’s Angel |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Mo’s Love |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
How Sweet It Is |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Five Star Nap |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Our Lucky Break |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Alpha Sue |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
9 |
8 |
Passing the Grade |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miss Curlin |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Dixie Jackpot |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Leave Em Counting |
1.80 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lady Digger |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kingston Terrace |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Septennial |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Heaven’s Devil |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wandernintheforest |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Malila |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Star Time |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Pro Tribute |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Art Vandaley |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Be the Light |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Primetime Tiz |
3.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Big Yankee |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Don’t Tell Sarah |
4.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Hard Earned |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lil Gabe |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Artemis Talent |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Coulee Que |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jet Marshall |
30.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.