March 4, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Best of Me | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Wine Untasted | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sheza Factor | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rattle | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | What’s Bruin | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | D D’s Lute | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Candy Coated World | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Billy | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Invasion Looming | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Insubordination | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Escudo Nacional (ARG) | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Rival | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Roaring Fork | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elevated Knight | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | It’s a New Year | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Normandy Beach | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tre | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Oh Man | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Surfing Star | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Take the One O One | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Trump | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sir Valentine | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Minoso | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | High Rize | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Shackalov | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dare to Enter | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Real Quick | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lighthouse Boogie | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Angry Bobby | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tequila Joe | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maestro Dearte | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prince of Arabia | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lifeline | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Albert Hall (GB) | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Play Hard to Get | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cafe Flavor | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ronald R (IRE) | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Broome | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sensible Myth | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Autumn | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whata Flirt | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tapalita | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Well Hello | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beyond Pleasure | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Iron Rob | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mesa Sky | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lambo Luxx | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hackleton | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Four Gaels | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pulmarack | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ajac | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I B Mike | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Causeforcommotion | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pistol Packin Rose | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Achira | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scandal | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vasilika | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lynne’s Legacy | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Lilly | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Night Time Inc (ARG) | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sasini (GB) | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.