April 7, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sister Drama | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cosita Rica | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charming Kid | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Puputov | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shez a Great One | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freckle de Freck | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Americain | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Voices Only | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Going to the Beach | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Resistance Jak | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pekin | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Padre | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sound of the Tap | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Global Hero | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Papa Joel | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kahuna | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | King Power | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Illustrious Son | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lunch Break | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Shalis | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chasing the Roses | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Head Hunter | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mass Approval | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Flashing Diamond | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Y’all | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Wife | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heyy’all Watchthis | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Jak | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Magic | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aurora Princess | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Twenty and Four | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Mitos Y Leyendas | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Journey’s End | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beaukati | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forest Gator | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Sarge | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Mongolia | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cotton Colors | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pair Pair Tie | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Horse Spotter Carl | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Scam | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Adonis Creed (FR) | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gray Dude | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Salute the Colonel | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reflected Star | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shadow Rock | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mai Ty One On | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forever Taken | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nobodyknowsnothin | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starship Taxi | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Strings | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bonterra | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doctor Dub | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bam Bam Blu | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Full Moon | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silbido | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Proud Legacy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Passionate Girl | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Baby Bella | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flying Queen | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tender Value | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Indian Myth | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Two Timing Girl | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Makeyourselfathome | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dancing Gia | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Queen Fantabulous | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dixie Grits | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Communal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Beach Girl | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Helping Lisa D | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shanghai Shuffle | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Well Acquainted | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lydia’s Way | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Tap | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alter Rhythm | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Gottahaveaholiday | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red Ribbon | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Twice as Magical | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Classy Shackles | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Clemson and Watson | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Burning Wild | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Archvillain | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Remembering Mickey | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gran Chief | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Changing Leads | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Darn That Parker | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Pinocchio | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Love My Cotton | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perp | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Carbon Data | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trouble in Phoenix | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Asset | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Appa | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Passport to Chaos | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charnley River (AUS) | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cometin | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gio Dude | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | The Green Mo’ster | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scrapper | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Four Knights | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oroscopo | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ajwibah | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yawl Lyin | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stock Trade | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Datum | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Power | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Be Gone Daddy | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | King Orb | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.