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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 13, 2018

April 13, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Reyana Reya Delite 30.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Windjammer (GER) 1.20 2.7 5-1
6 5 Sweet Connie Girl 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 3 Bogulator 1.80 3.3 6-1
7 6 Cleo 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Mama’s Red Hat 20.00 4.8 9-1
2 1 Glow Goddess 30.00 5.7 11-1
3 2 Flying Pleasantly 30.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Simona 1.80 1.9 4-1
4 4 Dreams Are Pazible 2.00 3 6-1
1 1 Overdraft 3.00 4 8-1
6 6 Status Asthmaticus 12.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Northernstreetgal 4.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Rapid Route 15.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Monteleone 2.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Regalian 4.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Fifty 1.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Vicar’s Legend 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 My Pirate 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Backstretch George 15.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Da Meister 30.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Jo’s Bold Cat 3.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Diplodocus 1.60 2.8 5-1
8 7 Cookie Crisp 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 6 Daddy’s Home 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Tale of Mist 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 Wondermeister 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Cavallotto 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4A 4 Splashtastic 1.80 SCRATCH
5A 4 Wake Forest (GER) 1.80 3 6-1
7 6 Highland Sky 4.50 3 6-1
3 3 Designed for War 3.50 3.6 7-1
6 5 Memories of Peter 5.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 Postulation 6.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Scholar Athlete 6.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Tapitation 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Okeamo 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Take It to Scale 2.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Zonic 3.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Analyze the Bill 4.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Panic Attack 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Playwright 4.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Flat Bill 15.00 4.5 9-1
8 7 Our American Star 30.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mohican 1.60 2.5 5-1
6 6 Major Force 2.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Ode to the Hunt 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Polar City 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Heart in Hand 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Smarter 12.00 6 11-1
2 2 Whyamisolucky 20.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Shipsandgoods 30.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Spectrolite 4.50 SCRATCH
6 5 English Minister 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 4 Blackout (FR) 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Sandy’z Slew 1.60 3.5 7-1
7 6 War Stroll 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Lex Vegas 15.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Toughest ‘Ombre 12.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 My First Gal 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Emblazoner 8.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Gypsy Jo 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Carlisle Belle 2.50 3.7 7-1
9 7 Sunblock 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Magari 4.00 4.5 8-1
5 4 Blue Eyes 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 5 Finlee 30.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 The Great Johanna 6.00 4.8 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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