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Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 14, 2018

April 14, 2018 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Foreverinyourfavor 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Urbane Legend 10.00 SCRATCH
6 5 La Fee Verte 3.00 2.9 5-1
7 6 Union Obsession 6.00 2.9 6-1
8 7 Indigirka 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Big Blue Magic 1.60 3.8 7-1
5 4 Spann Lane 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Glitter Appeal 20.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Mahdia 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tiz Our Turn 12.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Ruler of the Nile 1.20 3.2 6-1
4 3 Pryor 4.50 3.4 7-1
7 6 Penalty 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 He Takes Charge 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Caymans Cobra 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 2 Oskar Blues 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Front Door 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
16 16 Straightaway May 2.50 SCRATCH
14 14 My Apparition 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 One Fine Ride 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Jericho 30.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Seeking Blame 5.00 2.9 6-1
8 7 Laureato 4.50 3.4 6-1
12 11 Shakurr 6.00 3.8 7-1
10 9 Risky Town 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Entertainer 6.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Flash Harry 5.00 6.3 12-1
9 8 Mun Up 8.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Out of the Office 10.00 6.6 13-1
13 12 Rocket Warrior 20.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Blarney 12.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Trappe Valley 15.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Better Watch Out 12.00 9.2 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Zambian Dream (CHI) 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Brerry 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Great Minds 6.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Rise Up 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Han Sense 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Bee Jersey 1.60 3.5 7-1
5 4 Icatiro 6.00 4 8-1
9 6 Action Everyday 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Frammento 12.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Silver Dust 2.50 SCRATCH
12A 12 Dahog 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Extricate 3.50 3 6-1
11 11 Bird’s Eye View 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Convict Pike 4.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Zorzor 3.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Infinite Midnight 20.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Sun Lover (GB) 12.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Norco 15.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Capture the Glory 20.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Sekondi 15.00 7.1 13-1
3A 3 Yes Mon 20.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 All Hansens Ondeck 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Octoberfest 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Animus 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 A Bag of Money 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Stuart Hall 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Love Nest 15.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Travelling Midas 4.50 2.7 5-1
10 9 Graham’s Way 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Cavaradossi 4.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Brave Nation 5.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Just Whistle 3.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Arkadag 30.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Victory Lane 6.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Rushin Tothecircle 30.00 7.1 13-1
11 10 Royal Edition 30.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Gambit 10.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Indigo Yankee 20.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Ben Ali S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Chip Leader 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Hollywood Handsome 3.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Rated R Superstar 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Rafting 3.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Aurora Way 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Giuseppe the Great 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Guest Suite 6.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Giant’s Causeway S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Girls Know Best 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Lady Aurelia 0.80 2.5 5-1
7 7 Jennifer Lynnette 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 Storm the Hill 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Morticia 3.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Triple Chelsea 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 There’syourtrouble 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Brave Daisey 50.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Lady to the Max 50.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Excessivespending 20.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Stonestreet Lexington S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Magicalmeister 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Battle At Sea 8.00 SCRATCH
12 10 My Boy Jack 2.50 3.8 7-1
2 1 Telekinesis 4.00 4.2 8-1
8 6 Gracida 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 5 Pony Up 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 4 Greyvitos 6.00 4.9 9-1
10 8 Zanesville 20.00 6 11-1
3 2 Seven Trumpets 8.00 6.1 12-1
9 7 Navy Armed Guard 20.00 6.1 12-1
11 9 Arched Feather 20.00 6.5 12-1
4 3 Honor Up 12.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Coolmore Jenny Wiley S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 La Coronel 4.50 2.9 6-1
7 7 Sistercharlie (IRE) 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Dona Bruja (ARG) 4.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Fourstar Crook 5.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Proctor’s Ledge 12.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Off Limits (IRE) 5.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Bletchley (GB) 30.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Cambodia 6.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Ultra Brat 30.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Kitten’s Roar 12.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Lovely Bernadette 30.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Pennyann’s Inn 50.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Brassy and Sassy 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Buddy Ann 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Mizzen Colony 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Sugar Included 15.00 SCRATCH
11 9 Desert Isle 3.50 3.4 6-1
13 11 Alberobello 2.00 3.4 6-1
7 5 Silla Manila 4.00 5.3 10-1
10 8 My Sister’s Keeper 10.00 5.7 11-1
5 4 Song of Mine 4.00 5.8 11-1
4 3 Hanalei Moon 8.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Spark Joy 5.00 6.5 12-1
8 6 Let’s Roll 15.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Urban Insight 10.00 6.9 13-1
12 10 Lady Creed 50.00 7 13-1
9 7 Hazel Ann I Am 30.00 7.3 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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