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Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 14, 2018

April 14, 2018 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lionite 2.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Limation 3.50 2.9 6-1
5 5 Twist Off 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 Grade 6.00 4 8-1
9 9 I’ve Got Heart 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Forbidden Kitten 12.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Rickhouse 15.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Bodie Tap 30.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Bandit Point 30.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 The Red Dude 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Rapid Dial 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Long Station 8.00 SCRATCH
6 4 Adens Dream 4.50 3.4 6-1
5 3 Switzerland 3.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 Pete’s Play Call 5.00 4 7-1
11 8 Sevier 4.00 4.3 8-1
7A 5 Indexical 15.00 4.4 8-1
9 7 Aquamarine 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 2 Bourbon Cowboy 15.00 5.5 10-1
8A 6 Itsallaboutyou 15.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Data Gold 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 The Money Dance 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 5 Alexandros 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Possibilitarian 1.80 3.1 6-1
2 2 Ghost Rocket 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 East Moon Lake 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Sluicebox 12.00 5.8 11-1
8 7 Blasphemy 12.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fostering Harmony 12.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Kalalou 2.50 2.6 5-1
10 9 Zippy Lou 3.00 3.4 7-1
8 7 Traci’s Greeley 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 C P Quality 5.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Tedders Angel 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Three Halos 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 5 Lily Sofia 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Little T K 10.00 6.7 13-1
9 8 Aspiration 15.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Treble 2.50 2.8 5-1
9 9 The Craic 3.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Breaking Bread 4.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Jersey Heist 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 La Key 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Vilaro 10.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Dance Proposal 12.00 7 13-1
2 2 Borealis Beauty 15.00 7 13-1
3 3 Fairwayngreen 20.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Whistle Stop 15.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Slick Silver 3.50 2.5 5-1
10 10 Will’s Pioneer 4.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Firehorn 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Dahik 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Wild Popit 6.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Ghost Story 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Cowboy Creed 12.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Sweet Idi 10.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Soaring Bird 10.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Into Wynning 20.00 8.9 17-1
12 12 Cerunnos 15.00 9 17-1
9 9 Wicked Gem 15.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 No Funny Biz 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Dos Cuernos 15.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Chris and Dave 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 1 Bold Prophet 3.00 2.6 5-1
13 12 Gray Sky 8.00 4 8-1
9 8 Super Derecho 6.00 4.2 8-1
12 11 Powerful Ally 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Chocolateicecream 10.00 6.8 13-1
8 7 Heavy Roller 10.00 7.1 13-1
11 10 Rowdy the Warrior 12.00 7.3 14-1
5 4 Sabrena’s Bling 15.00 8.7 16-1
10 9 Pontastic 12.00 9 17-1
3 2 Primarily Gold 15.00 9 17-1
6 5 Sword of David 15.00 9.2 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Northern Spur S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 High North 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Ike 4.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Fire When Ready 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Title Ready 1.50 4.5 9-1
3 3 Higher Power 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Soul P Say 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Ego Trip 8.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Arazi Like Move 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Count Fleet Sprint H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Whitmore 1.40 1.9 4-1
1 1 Ivan Fallunovalot 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Smart Spree 3.00 3 6-1
3 3 Wynn Time 4.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Wings Locked Up 15.00 5 9-1
5 5 Wilbo 6.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Oaklawn H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Accelerate 1.80 1.9 4-1
11 11 City of Light 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Hedge Fund 4.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Hawaakom 10.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Inside Straight 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Untrapped 10.00 6 11-1
3 3 Sonneteer 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Colonelsdarktemper 20.00 7.1 14-1
9 9 Blueridge Traveler 15.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Lookin At Lee 20.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Malibu Max 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Arkansas Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Magnum Moon 1.60 2 4-1
5 5 Solomini 2.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Quip 4.50 4.1 8-1
9 9 Combatant 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Machismo 20.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Tenfold 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Dream Baby Dream 15.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Plainsman 30.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Beautiful Shot 30.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 J P of Galilee 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Justin Zee 30.00 SCRATCH
6 4 Moon Gate Warrior 3.50 3.3 6-1
7A 5 Jonny’s Choice 4.00 3.4 6-1
8 6 Crooked as Can Be 8.00 4.2 8-1
10 8 Affirming 2.50 4.4 8-1
2A 1 Runningunninrascal 4.00 4.5 9-1
9 7 The Rouge Diesel 8.00 5 10-1
3 2 Ucanthankmelater 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 Dynabeaver 12.00 6.5 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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