Site icon Sports from the Basement

Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, April 18, 2018

April 18, 2018 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 A We Bit Flirty 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Crackin Jon 15.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Pray Hard 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 3 Royal Asset 2.00 2.8 5-1
8 6 Blue Wings 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 The Money Monster 4.50 4.3 8-1
5 4 Rapa Iti 20.00 4.4 8-1
3 2 Rolin With Olin 15.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 La Maquina Gris 3.50 SCRATCH
7 6 My Eminence 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Makeamericagreat 2.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Red Kite 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Eyes On 4.50 4 8-1
8 7 A Bag of Money 15.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Riverboat Gambler 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Soul of the Hero 12.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Jabba Jaws 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Big Bruiser 20.00 SCRATCH
14 12 Strike Play 2.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Vow Me Now 4.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Alwaysmining 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Wonder Stone 2.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Baytown Macca 20.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Giant Act 6.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Dixie Highway 20.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Imbeingfollowed 20.00 7 13-1
1 1 Dantu 12.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Dustingbrown 12.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Weiland 20.00 8.7 17-1
3 3 Duke of Monroe 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Divine Desire 2.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Red Alert 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Stapleton 2.50 4 8-1
2 2 Speedmeister 2.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Cataroux 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Dahog 20.00 5 9-1
5 5 Mikeandchickdidit 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Thundercloud 30.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Santa Monica (GB) 2.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Canny 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Peru (GB) 4.00 3.4 7-1
6 6 Downton Kitten 4.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 Dutch Parrot 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Hannahanna 5.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Mo’s M V P 20.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Summertime Gal 50.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Buddy Ann 5.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Slim Fit 3.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Strombolian 5.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Pocket Book 2.50 4.2 8-1
8A 8 Still There 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 A Change of Heart 4.00 5.4 10-1
5A 5 Flout 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Outgoing 12.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Brassy and Sassy 15.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Mallory’s Channel 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Black Canary 3.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Missseventhirteen 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Inspired Vow 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Parol 2.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Bistro Moncur 10.00 4.2 8-1
10 9 Majestic Mist 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Soul Singer 12.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Heavenly Hill 12.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Saucy Symphony 15.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Lucy’s Revenge 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Tenacious Sally 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Gracequinnannamady 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Will Gracie Shine 10.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Oro Bird 3.50 3.4 6-1
7 5 Dancing Waves (IRE) 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Ursula Andress (BRZ) 2.50 4.2 8-1
10 7 Super Wonderful 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 2 Bella Be Proud 10.00 5.2 10-1
11 8 Wood Not Mind 15.00 5.4 10-1
5 3 Majestic Kindness 10.00 5.8 11-1
12 9 Haute Prospect 30.00 6.2 12-1
6 4 Myositis Mystique 15.00 6.5 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version