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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 19, 2018

April 19, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Echoes of Laughter 2.50 SCRATCH
2A 2 Social Fan 1.80 3.4 6-1
4A 4 Kitchen Soup 1.80 3.6 7-1
7 6 What the Luck 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Sayhellotomylilfrn 12.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Baggins 3.50 4.5 9-1
3 3 Fix Me a Sandwich 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Candys Delight 15.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Regalian 1.40 2.6 5-1
5 5 Blinded Vision 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Vicar’s Legend 5.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Heyitsnricopalazo 2.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Lake Party 15.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Espresso Caliente 10.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Golden Vale 1.40 2 4-1
3 3 Problem Solving 5.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Just Bling It 1.60 3.9 7-1
4 4 Way Over Budget 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Astrology Hill 10.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Saturdays Vapor 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bon Heir 15.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Doinwhatshelikes 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 4 Jcs American Dream 2.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Expressly 4.50 3.6 7-1
6 5 Madame Barbarian 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Conquest So True 3.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Loyal Heart 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Shakesperian Dream 30.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Banty’s Girl 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 English Dancer 3.50 SCRATCH
15A 15 Smile Big 0.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Questeq 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Smokin Hot Momma 20.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Passporttovictory 4.50 3.2 6-1
10 9 Tres Charmant 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Hollywood Cat 4.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 Miss Sizzle 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 1 Transaction Tax 8.00 5.1 10-1
11 10 Dynamic War 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 7 Angel Food 15.00 5.8 11-1
3A 2 Laura’s Patriot 12.00 6.2 12-1
5 4 Votre Coeur 10.00 6.7 13-1
6 5 The Two Nancy’s 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mr. Skittles 15.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Hashtag Winning 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 5 Ucantcatchmybreath 3.00 3.8 7-1
9 8 Raging Fire 12.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Kelvin 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Port Arch 4.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Our American Star 10.00 6.2 12-1
10 9 Holycowits Patrick 20.00 6.2 12-1
5 4 Beach Access 12.00 6.2 12-1
2 1 Clonedsimmard 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hey Jabber Jaw 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Threefiveindia 1.80 SCRATCH
6 4 Life in Shambles 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 King Kranz 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 3 Angry Moon 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 5 Green Gratto 20.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Candid Desire 20.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Global Positioning 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 For Pops 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Mighty Zealous 3.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Blue Belt 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Love That Jazz 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Tribecca 2.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Sword Fighter 3.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 With Exultation 4.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Dr. Shane 8.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Excluded 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Psychic Energy 3.50 5.1 10-1
9 9 Francis Freud 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Banana Thief 5.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Heavy Meddle 8.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Blue Pigeon 30.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Manifest Destiny 30.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Princess Rashelle 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Lia Shivani 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 A Taste of Glory 4.50 3.4 7-1
7 7 Opus Uno 5.00 4 8-1
4 4 Big Expense 3.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 She’sakittykat 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 I Like Your Style 3.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Glitterfication 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Tequila Sunday 15.00 6 11-1
12 10 You Promise 20.00 6 11-1
5 5 Classy Cara 30.00 8 15-1
1 1 Marie’s Warrior 30.00 8.1 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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