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Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 19, 2018

April 19, 2018 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Laser Lynn 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Wosie 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Armony’s Angel 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Out Till Dawn 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Zodiac Princess 20.00 SCRATCH
11 6 Seeking a Star 4.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Chelsea Cloisters 2.50 3.8 7-1
12 7 Temple City Charm 20.00 4.4 8-1
6 3 Montana Sunset 4.00 4.6 9-1
7 4 Elle Factor 6.00 4.9 9-1
13 8 Run Chuy Run 30.00 5.3 10-1
8 5 Elfy 20.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 The Lady Is Enough 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 United Patriot 2.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Beautiful Game 2.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Kate’s Golden Dude 3.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Dreamzapper 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Hubbadahubbadaboom 5.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Boxing Glove 10.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Portfolio Manager 2.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Next Speaker 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Maniacal 2.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Valyrian 3.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Fuhrious Warrior 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Dos Cuernos 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Diamondmaze 10.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 My Wynter Rose 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Crossing Alaska 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Abyssinian 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Boom Boom Gone 30.00 SCRATCH
9 7 Sexyama 8.00 3 6-1
8 6 Power Gal (JPN) 5.00 3.7 7-1
12 9 Northern Beauty 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 1 Athens Queen 5.00 4.2 8-1
5 3 Analyze This Cat 4.50 4.7 9-1
11 8 Lightscameraaction 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 5 Baytown Lindy 20.00 6.2 12-1
3 2 Tapiz Dream 15.00 6.3 12-1
6 4 Holiday Bid 30.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ventry Bay 2.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Hollow Point 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 What’sontheagenda 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Turbo S 5.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Romeo O Romeo 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Westwood’s Wizard 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Mutation 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Red Clay Magic 10.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Stairwell 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 More Moola 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Sun Dress 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 She Might Tell 6.00 SCRATCH
11 10 She’s Da Nuts 4.50 3.2 6-1
13 11 My Rose of Savanna 4.50 4 8-1
7 7 Go Stellaire 2.00 4.6 9-1
14 12 Animalistic 5.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Security 5.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Pure Sugar 5.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Gemoiselle 12.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Miss Devine 10.00 6.7 13-1
10 9 Lacasine Special 20.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Queen Jeanne 12.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Sassy Zeeman 12.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Keeper Ridge 20.00 9.8 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Say the Word 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Katie’s Cowboy 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Countryside Drive 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Heza Kitten 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 First Spring 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Divide 3.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Raging Bull (FR) 3.50 4.8 9-1
12 12 Bail Out 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Shackled 10.00 5 9-1
7 7 Irish Territory (IRE) 3.50 5.6 11-1
10 10 Get Western 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Non Regrette 5.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Skycraft 15.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Hurry Back 20.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 Somebody’s Beau 20.00 9.4 18-1
5 5 Cape Crush 20.00 9.7 18-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Silver Dust 1.80 2.1 4-1
4 4 Big Dollar Bill 2.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Hint of Roses 12.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Uncle Mojo 2.50 4.5 8-1
5 5 Magical Mystery 12.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Big E 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Combustible 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
16 16 Applewood 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Teryn It Up 4.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Burnin Daylight 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Papa Rizzo 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Special Forces 4.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Midnight Tea Time 5.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Redoute’s Light 5.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Blacksburg 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Witch Doctor 4.50 5 9-1
3 3 Pali High 6.00 5.3 10-1
12 12 Welles Crowther 20.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Malibu Uproar 10.00 7 13-1
8 8 Water Moccasin 15.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Themanbehindtheman 12.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Proquestor 20.00 8.7 16-1
6 6 Gem Alta 20.00 9.6 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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