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Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 20, 2018

April 20, 2018 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Agent Provocateur 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Onzaway 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Hua Mulan 3.00 4 8-1
6 6 Including Me 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Mine Mine Mine 4.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Vamp 5.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Witnessadream 8.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Electric Avenue 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Class Won 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Twinsanity 10.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Beer Pressure 3.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Faction Cat 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Doctor Lee 12.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 New Legend (KOR) 2.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Animus 3.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Surely You Jest 3.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Laser Loop 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Mr Freeze 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Fort Peck 4.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Bat 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tarpys Zapper 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Johnny Obvious 8.00 SCRATCH
6 4 Grand Candy 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 3 Prime Issue 2.50 2.7 5-1
7 5 Finnegan (IRE) 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Belgian 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Mr. Benz 8.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Harlan’s Vador (ARG) 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Runabout 6.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Warrior Inside 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 5 Just Old School 4.00 2.5 5-1
10 8 Kinsella 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Catauga County 4.00 4.2 8-1
9 7 Still Lookin 10.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Oater 10.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Immortalize 12.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Our d’Artagnan 30.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Absolute Love 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Beau Belle 5.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Plans to Prosper 3.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Victory Garden 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Bouncy 6.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Lessons From Avery 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Flat Meadow 6.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Antalya 20.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Corker 15.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Screenwriter 12.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Genuwine 30.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Innocent 15.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Secret Trick 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Operatic 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Auntie’s the One 2.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Raging Town 3.00 2.9 6-1
7 5 Upstage 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Moonlit Garden 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Clever Serve 3.50 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Takin the Sloroad 50.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Arch Daddy 4.00 2.7 5-1
8 7 Deeply Undervalued 1.80 2.8 5-1
4 4 Patterson Cross 2.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Honovi 12.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Patrick’s Day 4.50 4.5 8-1
3 3 Decisive Triumph 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Harlan Strong (ARG) 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Hilliard Lyons Doubledogdare S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Not Now Carolyn 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Valadorna 3.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Jenda’s Agenda 5.00 4.1 8-1
12 11 Tapa Tapa Tapa 8.00 4.1 8-1
11 10 Well Humored 6.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Mines and Magic 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Julerette 10.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Promise of Spring 12.00 7.3 14-1
13 12 Someday Soon 20.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Girl Talk 15.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Apologynotaccepted 10.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Song of Spring 12.00 8.7 17-1
5 5 Ministry 15.00 9.2 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Flawsome 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Maybe Wicked 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 City Day 2.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Lunar Garden 5.00 4 8-1
9 9 Stave 6.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Cloak of Secrecy 6.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 For Kicks 15.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Brand New Game 15.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Luna Rosa 8.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Great Emmy M 20.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Roman Around 30.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Tapit At Ann 50.00 8.7 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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