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Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, April 21, 2018

April 21, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bash 1.80 2.5 5-1
4 4 Velocita Brillante 3.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Justa Scoch 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Our Anthem 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Nowitna River 3.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Lulu’s On the Move 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Sirius Love 15.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Junction 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Mr. Euro 2.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Kinder 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Love and Care 15.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 A True Gentleman 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 O Captainmycaptain 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Brilliant Choice 15.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Crookit 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Boosting 6.00 SCRATCH
5 3 Justice for Sheena 2.00 2.3 4-1
6 4 Secret Temple 3.50 3.3 6-1
9 7 Fleur de Force 2.50 3.5 7-1
10 8 Vaughn 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 5 Grande Beso 6.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Self Determination 15.00 5.3 10-1
8 6 Z Nation 15.00 6 11-1
4 2 Chapel Gap 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hot Friesia 1.80 2.8 5-1
1 1 Simonela 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Marvelous Days 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Zorally 3.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Dorcas Carey 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 One Two Three Go 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 We Hap Now 20.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Loveanor 10.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Blue Hen Madness 3.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Bubbly 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Tranzip 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Unbridled Escape 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Kaprancy 8.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Crystal Pier 3.00 3.2 6-1
13 11 Sarah’s Whisper 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Canna Red 5.00 4.6 9-1
12 10 So Royal 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 Eye On Berlin 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Porte Cochere 10.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Party Rock 10.00 6.1 12-1
10 9 Standard Deal 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 6 Born to Be Mild 30.00 7.6 14-1
8 7 Scarlett’s Ransom 30.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Truly Hot 12.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Primonetta S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Anna’s Bandit 12.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Chalon 1.80 2.2 4-1
6 5 Short Kakes 3.50 4.2 8-1
4 3 Everlasting Secret 15.00 5 9-1
5 4 Cairenn 5.00 5.2 10-1
8 7 Your Pace Or Mine 15.00 5.5 10-1
10 9 Downtown Mama 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 6 Limited View 6.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Rowd E Allie 30.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 She Rolls 20.00 6.8 13-1
11 10 Bluegrass Flag 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Dahlia S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Full of Zip 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 I’m Betty G 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Hawksmoor (IRE) 1.40 2.5 5-1
1 1 Compelled 3.50 3 6-1
5 5 Hallie Belle 15.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Flower Fashion (FR) 6.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Broken Bridle 12.00 4.7 9-1
9 8 Aura Rose 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Tanya’s Gem 30.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Sophia Is an Angel 30.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Weber City Miss S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Shamrock Rose 1.40 1.8 3-1
8 8 Layla Noor 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Goodonehoney 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Indy Union 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Blue Union Rags 10.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Stakes On a Plane 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Stormologist 12.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Empress Livia 30.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Firth 15.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Henry S. Clark S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Bolting 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Celebration (GB) 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Ring Weekend 3.50 2.2 4-1
12 11 Phlash Phelps 5.00 4 7-1
10 9 Ghost Hunter 4.50 4 8-1
5 5 Caribou Club 8.00 4.2 8-1
11 10 Even Thunder 15.00 5.1 10-1
14 12 Doctor Mounty 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Murad Khan (FR) 10.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 El Areeb 12.00 6.8 13-1
8 7 Dalarna 20.00 7.9 15-1
9 8 Glorious Empire (IRE) 15.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Cooptado (ARG) 15.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Econometric 50.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Federico Tesio S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Navy Commander 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Split Verdict 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Still Having Fun 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 5 Diamond King 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Noble Commander 6.00 3.7 7-1
10 8 V. I. P. Code 8.00 4.1 8-1
9 7 Dynamic Asset 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 6 American Lincoln 8.00 5.6 11-1
11 9 Holland Park 10.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Takedown 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Not Fake News 30.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Benevolent Prince 2.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Warrior Rose 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Cape Apache 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Whenthedovescry 6.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 The Constable 10.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Ay Carumba 8.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Sadler Bay 15.00 7 13-1
8 8 Native Flora 12.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Stormy Patriot 12.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 What a Run 15.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Ollie’s Papa’s Boy 20.00 8.2 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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