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Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, April 25, 2018

April 25, 2018 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Stylitude 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Resonate 3.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Fashion Envy 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Valiant Reason 3.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Crowned Princess 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Marnie Star 20.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Abstain 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Super’s X E 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 She’sgotthebeat 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kitty Express 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 She’s Got Pride 3.50 SCRATCH
6 4 Lucky Move 2.50 1.9 4-1
8 6 Jemrose 3.50 3.2 6-1
7 5 My Kinda Devil 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Mrs Rocco 4.00 4.3 8-1
5 3 Maria Rose 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 2 Flashy Trick 15.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 16 Big Max 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Abyssinian 1.60 SCRATCH
15 15 Chattel 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Maya Solomea 20.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Baytown Glory 15.00 4.1 8-1
9 8 Two Bit Kid 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Stage Left 2.50 4.7 9-1
12 11 U. S. Warrior 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Inda Zone 3.50 5.1 10-1
6 5 Infantry 12.00 5.9 11-1
13 12 Land Broker 20.00 6 11-1
11 10 Big Bruiser 30.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Tiz Nijinsky 20.00 7.7 15-1
8 7 Kool Patriot 30.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Del La Hoya 30.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Dalliance 30.00 9.1 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Shezaprado 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lovin Empire (JPN) 5.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Bengala (FR) 3.50 2.9 5-1
6 4 Secede 3.00 3 6-1
4 3 Creative Thinking 8.00 4 8-1
9 7 Sweet Ella 10.00 4.4 8-1
8 6 Front Row Debbie 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Full of Joy 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 Araminta 12.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Vacanzie Inn 4.50 SCRATCH
8 7 What What What 2.00 2.1 4-1
9 8 Gingermore 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Radiantrithym 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Prom Theme 4.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Awesome Music 6.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 Tappin the Magic 30.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 See the Bird 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Budget Cut 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Zulu Alpha 5.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Profiteer 2.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Space Mountain 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Dot Matrix 3.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Bondurant 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Floroplus 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Tweet Kitten 10.00 5 10-1
1 1 Nileator 10.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 4 Paddock Crasher 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Campioni 3.50 2.9 6-1
9 9 Something Bird 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Aviator Parks 5.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Ragtime Rebel 4.50 4.8 9-1
8 8 One Fine Ride 6.00 5 9-1
6 6 Mucho Mas Grande 10.00 5.1 10-1
1 2 All Up in Lights 4.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Silver Giant 10.00 6.9 13-1
2 1 Street Limit 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Golden Amber 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Brielle’s Appeal 1.80 3.5 7-1
7 7 Pastime 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Bonnie Arch 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 China Grove 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 May Lily 3.50 5.8 11-1
6 6 Tu Se Manques 15.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Fly 15.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Surfina 30.00 7.1 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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