April 27, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Boca Royalty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dixie Princess | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sunfest | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mystic Magnolia | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Alina | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Treasure Time | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blackwynn | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Cedar Key S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Catharsis | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Miz Mayhem | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Roses in the South | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Crazy for Sofia | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Really Proud | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Auldwood Lane | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Squadron A | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Players Luck | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quinientos | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tenacity Zip | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Colormepompom | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Clemson and Watson | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Friend Flavin | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ours Dream Fly | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Southern Sea | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Two Seventy One | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Knucklehead | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gran Malbec | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stun | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magnificent Promis | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Paddy | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big Bud | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sombeyay | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Secretario | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Itsabouttimegirl | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rayo My King | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goldenlineof | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Embers | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chinomado | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Inside Trip | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Sympathetic | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sara’s Day | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freckle de Freck | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charming Kid | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Taco Wayne’s Shot | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shez a Great One | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Americain | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lost for Words | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Mr. Kisses | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Social Roy | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nonna’s Boy | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trev | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scam | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Small Fortune | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pure Michigan | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | My Cousin Martha | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Vendita | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lantiz | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bareeqa | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conquest Dynasty | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Aquemini | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dark Artist | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Admiral’s Win | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Enigmatica | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Princess Victoria | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nola Fashion | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yes I’ll Go | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Working Carol K | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Roller | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | True Motion | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Go Astray | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Disruptor | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Walterjeep | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Harry’s Gone Gray | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Arpinella | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ed’s Rocket | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Devise | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Uncle Mace | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Architectural | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Twistcat Candy | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saturado | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.