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Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Friday, April 27, 2018

April 27, 2018 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sohni 2.00 3 6-1
4 4 Kenosha Comet 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Foreverinyourfavor 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Georgy Girl 2.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Pennyann’s Inn 15.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Spring Break Girls 4.50 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Joy of Treasure 10.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Mighty Scarlett 1.40 2.3 4-1
8 7 Brie’s Lucky Charm 10.00 4 7-1
6 5 Dayfa 4.00 4.1 8-1
10 9 Twiga 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Smart Shot 3.50 4.8 9-1
5 4 Final Reward 12.00 5.3 10-1
9 8 Flawsome 30.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 Summer Fling 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Mushaboom 50.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lilbitofjam 1.20 2.6 5-1
4 4 Racey Reecey 3.00 3 6-1
3 3 Love the Power (FR) 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Wilhelmina 20.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Ivy’s College Fund 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Crack Your Whip 5.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Love That Lute 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Beltway 2.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Kahramani 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Fifth Thief 20.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Burnt Bluff 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 King Ofthe Channel 6.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tizaprincessa 6.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Nevisian Sunset 2.50 2.6 5-1
7 6 Sweet Oats 6.00 2.9 6-1
10 9 Style Icon 3.00 3.5 7-1
9 8 Mizzen Colony 20.00 5 10-1
1 1 Sippin Kitten 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 Renewable 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 More Fun Again 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 5 Osheen 20.00 6.5 12-1
4 3 Salty Scatt 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Marriage Counselor 2.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Sacred Walk 3.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Let Me Loose 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Fullback Foye 5.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Pulledafastone 12.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 B First 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Zarski 4.50 5.8 11-1
2 2 Treadwell 15.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Brouillard 20.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Mr. Spats 30.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sniper Kitten 3.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Soul Beam 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Morning Stride 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Violent Storm 5.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Sky Promise 5.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Take That for Data 4.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Fig Jelly 15.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Ceduna 12.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Limit Your Losses 20.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 King of Candy 10.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mistressofthenight 4.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Champagne Problems 4.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Dorodansa 4.00 4 7-1
3 3 Mannerly 3.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Blue Collar 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Sweet Legacy 6.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Impasse 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Vagabond Princess 6.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Bewitch S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Daddys Lil Darling 0.60 2.4 4-1
6 6 Daring Duchess 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Sully’s Dream 15.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Ickymasho (GB) 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Mom’s On Strike 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Coco Channel 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Shezaprado 20.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Stack Em High 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Triple Dog Dare 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Say the Word 3.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 C C Rider 2.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Nantucket (JPN) 3.50 5.2 10-1
7 7 Jailhouse Kitten 12.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Royal Edition 20.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Kilronan 20.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Broth 10.00 6 11-1
2 2 El Capa Rojo 30.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Sgt Jack T Moffitt 20.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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