April 28, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 8 | Msmissioncomplete | 1.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lady Racer | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | All Ours | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shining Armada | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Berberslilbriebrie | 1.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sweet Turn | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Uptempo | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hijinks | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | You’re My Lady | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Boomerang Toy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Vocab | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Red Reddington | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Billy Badpay | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Annie’s Big Boy | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unto Thou | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Economic Data | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Secret | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speightman | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bluegrass Gold | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Wagon | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Cried a Tear | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Glosky | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Too Much Drama | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ballyhoo Moon | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mary Sue Weloveyou | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | High Math | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chessen | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Letthemooseloose | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Weekend Babe | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fairybrook | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Boss | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blondie Girl | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bird of Prey | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nothin But a Smile | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stand and Salute | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Run Dixie Run | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Honorable Service | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Runs for Luck | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Double the Cheers | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Watch My Dust | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Saratoga Wildcat | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Negrito | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Doublethestyle | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Burntwood | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Tale of Mist | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Roethlisberger | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Seat of Honor | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Run for James | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dennis’ Diamond | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Master Yank | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Monaco | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Indygo Breeze | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sight Line | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rapidez | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Revolving Storm | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Courtage | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Sneaky Betty | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Viva Forever | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Katy Drama | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Annika Gold | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Untouchable U | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Six Degree | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sally O’Prado | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Lil Miss Hotshot | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Lyman S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 5 | Jw’strickymischief | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 2 | Moe Trouble | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | The Man | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cowboy Mz | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Driven to Compete | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Grasshoppin | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Red Razzo | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flashy Kyem | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Yeah Rocky | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Foxy J. G. S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dixie Serenade | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Lydia Sweetie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Hey Braciole | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Ignite | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Risque’s Diamond | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Trace of Grace | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Power of Snunner | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Disco Rose | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Wildcat Cartridge | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Barley Jack | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Formal Class | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Shaunna Alexandra | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Item | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Charles | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Hurry Up Alan | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Edisto Bay | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Broad Lover | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Saltine Warrior | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Barlovento Tiger | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | To the Victor | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Printer | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | El Potro | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Promise Illgetyou | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bluegrass Demon | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Star of Sarava | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.