May 6, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Dorothyfromdublin |
0.40 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Boosting |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Montrico |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Harlington Romance |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Postino’s Secret |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Li’lbito’gold |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2A |
2 |
Spirit Grabber |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Top Prospect |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
1 |
Prime Time Man |
1.40 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
Brickyard Kitten |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
5 |
Here’s Johnny |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
4 |
Broad Axe Bernie |
5.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Jump Street Hero |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
7 |
No Knock Raid |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
6 |
Ginner |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Pictura |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ms. Picadilly |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mais Oui d’Or |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Salsa River Girl |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Faint Hearted |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wee Monie Creek |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fantastic Crossing |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Lovely Games |
1.80 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Candlestick Nic |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Stevie’s Joy |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Upper Crown |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jericho Marsh |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Redeemed Gentleman |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gallo de Oro |
30.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Awesome Ghost |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
In Arrears |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Conquest See Ya |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
4 |
Bobcat |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
12 |
10 |
Robey’s Boy |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Henry the King |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Mr. October |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Axtell |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
2 |
Nice Try |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
11 |
9 |
Icelake |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
9 |
8 |
More Abundance |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
4 |
3 |
Witchy’s Laststand |
20.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Mo Money Monica |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Mila Jane |
1.20 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
4 |
One Last Cast |
4.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Analyzeyurspending |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Soft Landing |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
All Good Times |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
6 |
Flying Phillip’s |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Big City Blues |
1.60 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Snow Fighter |
1.80 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Magician’scalendar |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Beltway Bob |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Syndicate Saver |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Brockadoodle |
50.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Pearl Gem |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Star Eighty |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
A Great Time |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bioterp |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Elevated Vision |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fear No Evil |
4.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
7 |
Margie’s Money |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Intrepid Forest |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Grace Isabella |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Saturday’s Rein |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Darcy Mae |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Grand Folly |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Thanks Mom |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lovely Sunset |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Thirst for Truth |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Love’s Legend |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
6 |
Mirth |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
9 |
8 |
Cherokee Fire |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.