May 11, 2018 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Canna Red | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Fly and Flutter | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Crystal Pier | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | I Dream of Lois | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Miss Krivoruchka | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baltimore Street | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Unbridled Escape | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sassafras Springs | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pea Patch Point | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Scarlett’s Ransom | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beaches N Bourbon | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Platinum Pound | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fallinginloveagain | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cannavaro | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Major Metro | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Free to Trump | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stormy Patriot | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mo Mon’s Copycat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Enigma | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Taller Sister | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Temple | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Safari Tan | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hashtag Selfie | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Save the Park | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Born to Be Mild | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holy Scat | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Street Miz | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | One Flashy Cat | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | George Grammas | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wilko’s Goldeneye | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Factor | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crazy Wild Bill | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | All Spun Up | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Key Mono | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tapitontheside | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Last Train Out | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Wise Trade | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Wee Bonnie Lass | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Petticoatsnpistols | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15A | 15 | Scip It All | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dazzling Speed | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baylor | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Weiwaltz | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Forever Thankful | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nailed It | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Angelinthemorning | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eye of the Chub | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lost Scroll | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gfour | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Running Tide | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vinny Gorgeous | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Voo Dude | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bombonero | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hopkins Choice | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Port Louis | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sensational Notion | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Down in the Holler | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Derecho | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Schianti | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Spicy Dreamer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Choice Prospect | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Shape of You | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Brypooter | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dirt Road Princess | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Go Magician Go | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Madam Alex | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fireheart | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookin Perfect | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucy in the Sky | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Stormin | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Brown | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Market Money | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Georgia N | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tac Up | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Star Eighty | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Expect Indy | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Terp | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tengey | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bad Nana | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mother Ginger | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crookit | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Liz’s Smile | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Be Humble | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Lonely Drifter | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tamarack Gal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Eye of the Wildcat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Scarfree | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Doit for Spite | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Gingeresk | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dorcas Carey | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Lemon Avocado | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Private Drama | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 15 | 9 | Demelza | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mischievous Star | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbonstreetlady | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Moon Artist | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Aunt Mitzi | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.