June 17, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ragnar Lothbrok | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Flipped | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Merger of Banks | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Barefoot Angel | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Our American Star | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | The I Man | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Breathing Shadow | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lance’s Empire | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Adventist | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Conquest Bigluck E | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Going Strong | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Marriage Fever | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Battle of Evermore | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Chilly Bon Bon | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bar None | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Micozzi | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | Forge | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Weekend Hideaway | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Tombelaine | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | White Flag | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Rock | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Field of Courage | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Marengo Road | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6A | 4 | Bernay (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gravitating | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Galatians | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nightstrings | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rucksack | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Czech Rate | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go Lassie Go | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pawn It Back | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Freeze the Account | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ego | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Odie | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Gins and Tins | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Beto | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bluesky Kitten | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mobilization | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joyful Heart | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baggins | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Junipero Avenue | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Swamp Rat | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | One Mission | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | Class Won | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Have Another | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scarf It Down | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Malibu Action | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Monteleone | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | You’re Killin Me | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Change of Venue | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | The Caretaker | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Deficit Hawk | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Shiraz | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Elenzee | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Colonel Tom | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sparky | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Discretionary Marq | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | River Knight | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Outrageous Bet | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Louisiana Lady | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stolen Pistol | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starry Messenger | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Great Stuff | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Still Krz | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Morning Buzz | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Always a Suspect | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Professor Snape | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Full Salute | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Very Very Stella | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Benefactor | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Poker S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Oscar Performance | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ballagh Rocks | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fire Away | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Force the Pass | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Made You Look | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Voodoo Song | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vulcan’s Forge | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Black Tide | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Rubellite | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Tapping Colors | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Bronx Tail | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Wild N Ready | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Battle Joined | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Keota | 4.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 11A | 10 | Anazara | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aoife | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quaff | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rag Top | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dearborn | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Char | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.