June 24, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mummy Troll | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Yourdecisionotmine | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Handsome Harve | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chipollino | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Solo Drink | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zanforce | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Andrew the Giant | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Semper Frey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Ask Alex | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Her Hush Money | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Get None | 0.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Southern Attack | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rare Action Attack | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shaban | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hellofaguy | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jericho | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | P J’s Awesome | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Campioni | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Danny B | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gentleman Richie | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Miracle Mountain | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yellow Wolf | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Colonel Fred | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sea Rover | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kid Mac Cool | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | And Won | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speared | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hussar | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jeff the Lion | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vbreeze | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Carson Kan | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m a Lawman | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Monday Pirate | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tigerbeach | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Nuclear Option | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Amaroq | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Starstruck Kitten | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | U Turn the Page | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Goddess of Kip | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chantses | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prairie Chick | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tannah’blu | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Applique | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royalty Princess | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Launch Away | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Teach Me Tonight | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Delicate Lady | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crafty’s Way | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Shezahotmama | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nook | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kool Kate | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chlobee | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Banjo Cat | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ima Little Kitten | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dr Winn Kyi | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jolee | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wayaway | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bowknot Billy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Oscarific | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Bootleggin | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Admiral Sean | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lee’s Luck | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Offlee Fun | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shmily | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | A J’s Posse | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Richie Rocks | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mr. Stein | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Assaulter | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Ready to Fight | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.