July 1, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Orcus | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Under the Table | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Urban Cool | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Revolt | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Carnoustie | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Show’em Pop | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Spectacular Act | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Two Minute Man | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smoke ‘n’ Gloat | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Richiesinthehouse | 1.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | What’s Up Dude | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Another Richie | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go Oshie Go | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Riv | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Amberjack | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Prince Cheval | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Gold Hawk | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hourly | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Laflowmylaxbro | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Prize Native | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Snallygaster | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Prudent Hero | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Im the Best I Know | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Our Thomas | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Braden’s Position | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Tims Hope | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Northern Fire | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Here Comes Kyle | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | One Way Home | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dixie Dean | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Silver Saver | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Fonda Romana | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Windy City Girl | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Deep Breath (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Speed Devil | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gianna’s Gift | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stay Anchored | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Turbo Shaft | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | April Fifteenth | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Lemon Drop Twist | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Delaphene | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gagaoveryou | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Luvin Bullies | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fort Marsh | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | China Grove | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Addae Do Jaguarete (BRZ) | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Aiken to Be | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Black Angel | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lu Sea | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carolina Jasmine | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rake It Up | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Sullyvin’s G G | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Can She Scoot | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Her Wild Lifestyle | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hal’s Mischief | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Merlot | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hey Hey | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Posh Ruler | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Flyingbyu | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Strong Response | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Brave Benny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Rivzinthehouse | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Barnyard Fiddler | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Electrifying | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Curby | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Disco | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greeley’s Special | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Iker | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arrogant | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Savie | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.