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Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 5, 2018

July 5, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Miss Pugsley 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Classy to D’ Bone 20.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Seven Jewels 2.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Sue’s Fortune 1.60 3.1 6-1
6 5 Itsakeyper 4.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 She Will Rock 3.50 3.5 7-1
5 4 Gloria Jean 15.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Athera 2.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Silver Magnolia 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Awesome Quick 3.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 She’s So Fine 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 A Dixie Twister 3.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Puparee 12.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bartletts Mark 3.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Dustin’s Comet 10.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Mad Munnys 0.80 3.5 7-1
7 7 Giant Rubies 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 Pay the Price 4.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Seediskid 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Crypto’s Pick 20.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Expert 4.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Mathematician 2.50 3 6-1
6 5 Sargeant Drive 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Argonne 3.50 3.8 7-1
7 6 Midnight Tea Time 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Prompt 2.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Into the Breach 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Hampton Point 12.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wild About Deb 1.20 SCRATCH
5 5 Glennrichment 2.00 SCRATCH
6 4 Tricked Up 1.80 1.9 4-1
3 2 Ode to the Hunt 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 5 New Jersey John 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Immunity 5.00 4 7-1
4 3 River of Dreams 8.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lusitano 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Lil Commissioner 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Show Me the Bucks 1.20 SCRATCH
10 7 Morrison 2.50 2.8 5-1
7 6 Themanbehindtheman 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Pillar Mountain (IRE) 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Admission Office 1.60 4.2 8-1
4 3 War Chest 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 2 Zap Daddy 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Have At It 10.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Formal Start 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Elios Milos 1.60 2.7 5-1
2 2 New York Hero 2.50 3.2 6-1
6 5 Inalienable Rights 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 I Love Jaxson 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Proletariat 4.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 O Shea Can U See 5.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Secret Passage 1.60 SCRATCH
8 7 Get Jets 2.00 2.5 5-1
5 4 Blacktype (FR) 2.50 3.4 6-1
6 5 Tapitation 15.00 4.5 8-1
4 3 Abiding Star 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 Night Prowler 3.50 4.6 9-1
7 6 Giant Run 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Kharafa 4.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gio Lucky 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Flipped 2.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Wushu Warrior 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Rogue Patriot 1.60 3 6-1
6 4 Blinded Vision 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Vicar’s Legend 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 3 Lake Party 15.00 4.5 9-1
8 6 Backstretch George 20.00 4.7 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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