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Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 6, 2018

July 6, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Change of Venue 1.20 SCRATCH
8 8 Make the Rules 1.60 SCRATCH
2 2 Herecomesyourman 1.40 2.9 6-1
5 4 Fact Check 1.80 3.1 6-1
7 6 Zefiro 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Hoard 15.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Too Much Data 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Nutzforboltz 10.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lia Shivani 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Money Purse 1.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Neon 2.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Abeja Negra 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Tiffany’s Vision 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Know Point Given 10.00 4 8-1
3 3 Flying Pleasantly 12.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – State Dinner S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Timeline 1.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 You’re to Blame 3.50 3 6-1
5 5 Giuseppe the Great 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Sunny Ridge 1.60 3.8 7-1
2 2 Frammento 15.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Sexyama 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Isabelle’s Joy 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Global Exchange 10.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Speedy Solution 4.50 2.9 5-1
6 4 Andrea’s Pride 3.50 3.4 6-1
9 7 South of France 6.00 4.2 8-1
11 9 Jolie Bay 5.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Kintra 4.00 4.3 8-1
10 8 Shannon’s Girl 12.00 6.1 12-1
7 5 Jazzy J 20.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Trish the Dish 8.00 6.7 13-1
4 3 Miss Technicality 8.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Alright Alright 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Sol the Freud 12.00 SCRATCH
5B 5 Too Fast to Pass 10.00 SCRATCH
3A 3 Hey Jabber Jaw 0.80 SCRATCH
7A 4 Data Driven 0.80 2.2 4-1
6 3 Getoffmyback 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 1 Saratoga Heater 3.50 3.4 6-1
8 5 Bobby On Fleek 8.00 3.4 6-1
4B 2 Toohottoevenspeak 10.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Carom 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Eagle Pass 6.00 SCRATCH
9A 9 Last Stage 6.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Identity Politics 3.50 2.5 5-1
8A 6 Greek Alphabet 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 End of Spirits 1.80 3.2 6-1
5 4 Turnstyle 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 2 Constant Knight 30.00 4.7 9-1
4 3 Pawn It Back 50.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 The Venerable Bede 20.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Payne 3.00 2.9 5-1
8 7 Point to Remember 4.50 3 6-1
9 8 Illudere 6.00 4 8-1
7 6 Hot Sriracha 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Aqwaam 5.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Throw the Fade 5.00 5 10-1
1 1 Candirita 10.00 6.8 13-1
5 4 Lonhtwist 15.00 7.1 14-1
4 3 Hersh 12.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jewel Can Disco 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Mighty Zealous 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Daddy D T 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Life in Shambles 1.80 SCRATCH
2 2 Phi Beta Express 1.40 SCRATCH
3 2 Masked 1.60 3.3 6-1
12 8 Our Independence 4.50 3.4 6-1
11 7 Get a Valentine 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 5 End Play 6.00 4.4 8-1
10 6 English Minister 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 3 Blessed Halo 5.00 5.1 10-1
7 4 Simon Bar Sinister 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Battle in Seattle (FR) 10.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Our Girl Abby 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Anna Rae 1.40 SCRATCH
10 8 Avery Maeve 3.00 2.2 4-1
8 7 Orecchiette 3.50 2.5 5-1
11 9 Hoponthebusgus 4.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Samara 4.50 4.7 9-1
6 5 Angel Food 12.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 La Naturel (IRE) 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 4 Ultimate Cause 10.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Sheputaspellonme 12.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Havana Affair 20.00 7.2 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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