July 8, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lonely Drifter | 0.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mischievous Star | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rosetta Red | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Alida | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Perfect Party Girl | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golightly | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hollywood Preachin | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Cotton Ball | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Killmain | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hashtag Selfie | 0.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queena Esther | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Surprised | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Soup for You | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crookit | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kenlake Resort | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Done Acting | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Panama Papers | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Praise the Moon | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bowsprit | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | English Tudor | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bombonero | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | City Gold | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Riteamontofmschief | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trustifarian | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Native Flora | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Asphalt Paving | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ready Aim | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Legal Precedent | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Off Road | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A True Gentleman | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chief Tarhe | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Valid Redeemer | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dutch Blitz | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mokheef | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mr Small | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seven Gems | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jammer | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yankee Tar | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dangerous Dan | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Down in the Holler | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapitontheside | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Category Two | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Chocomount | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | To the Hilt | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flankenstein | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Disco Express | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cannon’s Roar | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Eightyeightmph | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Bad Ben | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ten Dollar Hammer | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Easter Vigil | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Proud Maid Marian | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Indy Breeze | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gimme Kimmy | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Better Way | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Moon Shock | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Senora de Lujan | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hanalei Sunset | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stormy Mama | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Missin Maggie | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kenzie | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bluegrass Flag | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Faze the Nation | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Quiet | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Discreet Deceit | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Three Illusions | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smokin’ Seance | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10A | 10 | Super Buddy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tempt Me Twice | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Warrior Rose | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Available | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smile for Eternity | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Took Over | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Mic | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nonsuch | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jovis | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Finbar | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | D’wildcat Sunshine | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Egber | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Maddnes | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rein Supreme | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Enchanted Evening | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Craigie | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shakin’ That Sugar | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maryland’s Miracle | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bet Her Later | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jean Grey | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.