July 11, 2018 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bugsy’s Moment | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Warrior Lake | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tchaikovsky | 1.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Samuel Star | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Return Video | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smart Two a T | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Papacho | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Greed Is Good | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Good Genes | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 8 | Goodbyeseeulater | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Golden Ray | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flight Crew | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cutty Shark | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sky Chaparral | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Posterity | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gaetano | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gallows Bay | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Homer Haps | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Big Deal | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War At Sunrise | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Williamsburg | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Argot | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Go Cristian Go | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Starship Thor | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Swagger | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Racy (GB) | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dreaming of Frank | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Make My Saturday | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz My Valentine | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Burford | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Economic Data | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rahrahrah | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toast the Kitten | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oklahoma Crude | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Viola’s Legacy | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | There Goes My Girl | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aahaa | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Mo’s Affair | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kelly’s Ford | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paddy’s Gal Rosie | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dance Valentina | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Hurricane Bear | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Jeezum Jim | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ghostly Games | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 8 | Vitium | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Here’s to Mike | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Hiram | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Stone Crazy | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daneking (GB) | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Franklin Towers | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hirschbein | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rest Assured | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Igotyoursix | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sterlings Dolly | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Our Princess Belle | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Aritzia | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blind Devotion | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Southern Christmas | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | March Wind | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chapel Gap | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bringhomethecrown | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | West Coast Bias | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Last Promise Kept | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dynatail | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bombshell | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arraign | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Virginia | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Complete St. | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dialin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Stellar Moon | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | She’s Achance Too | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | I’m Listening | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swimsuit Issue | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Enuff | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Reigning Gal | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Le Weekend | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | TIFFANYS DREAM | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | SMOKE EN FIRE | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | DAZE OF AWE | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | RICH SIN | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | RB WICKED RICH | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | MIZZDORA | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.