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Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 4, 2018

August 4, 2018 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 McLean House 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Biletnikoff 1.80 2.7 5-1
6 6 Awesome Sight 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Katchup Tiz 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Iron Lion 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Threethehardway 8.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Northern Grey 1.40 2.5 5-1
3 3 Who Broke the Bank 3.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 El Tocayo 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Fire Sparx 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Sventastic 6.00 5 9-1
2 2 Saint Ignatius 8.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Starship Thor 3.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Make My Saturday 4.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Burford 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Great Harbour Cay 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Tiz My Valentine 10.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Argot 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Kitchen Police 5.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 El Grillo 8.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Dagburnit 15.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Oklahoma Crude 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ballylin 1.40 2.1 4-1
1 1 Jumpin Jett 3.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Paddy’s Gal Rosie 4.50 4 8-1
7 7 Dance Valentina 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Blackdiamond Dream 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Perfect Rosie 10.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Flamingo Chick 8.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Admiration 4.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Toe Curlin’ Kiss 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Jag 3.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 King’s Pawn 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Salt Air 4.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Verse 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Bet the Pot 6.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Apollo’s Favorite 12.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Bulland 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Off Road 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Southern Cross 2.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Old Sport 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Durrett Lane 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Fierce Tide 15.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Mr. McGoey 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Apollo Eleven 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Zartax 8.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Business Partner 6.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Stay Awesome 10.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Die Hard Di 3.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 Sir Douglas 4.50 5 9-1
9 9 Bellows 12.00 6 11-1
7 7 Cross Current 5.00 6 11-1
11 11 Handsome Hoyt 12.00 6.1 12-1
14 14 Mayrhofen 12.00 6.2 12-1
13 13 Keepingitquiet 10.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Barton Holt 15.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Cullasaja King 15.00 8.7 16-1
6 6 Sound Off 12.00 9.6 18-1
5 5 Most Likely 20.00 10.8 20-1
1 1 Majestic Doctor 20.00 11.7 22-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 MISS PARADISE 2.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 FORTAISSA 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 DANCE WITH ME BW 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 TIFFANYS DREAM 1.60 4.2 8-1
8 8 JUNIA 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 TM MADDAMEE 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 BURNING VAZ 10.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 PICK ME 15.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Cre Run Oaks Arabian Distaff S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 RB KINKIE BOOTS 1.80 2.6 5-1
2 2 UPTOWN SANDY GIRL 1.20 2.9 6-1
6 6 RB WICKED RICH 20.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 MIZZDORA 15.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 ROYALLY BRED 4.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 BIGG GIRL 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 DAZE OF AWE 15.00 5.5 10-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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