August 9, 2018 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gritty Kitty | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seeyouatthedisco | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sperling | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chosen Facts | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cooper’s Keeper | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peppermint Ice | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hurraca | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jean Elizabeth | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dandy Gal | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bet She Wins | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ethyl Ether | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soul Singer | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jolee | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Desani’s Chance | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Way Home | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ya Mon | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cupboard | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiger’s Tip | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hammers Thirsty | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Shoe | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Full Count | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Lillet | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Belle Brezing | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fortressa | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Superstar Diva | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Logi | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Penny Slots | 50.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diastole | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Enchanted Rambam | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Danny B | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Candyrock | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Checkmate Charlie | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | French Minded | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fist Full | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jericho | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lee’s Luck | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Good Wishes | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Arch Away | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mistletoe Miss | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Kantastic | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Headfirst | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Lethal Leanne | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Risk E Lifestyle | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Rosie Bear | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bubuzela | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hide and Street | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Wildwood Scat | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Voluptuous | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tinderella | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | G P’s Girl | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brewmistress | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chica Bonita | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | West Village | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Orcus | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unbridled Giant | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carnoustie | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prince Cheval | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Show’em Pop | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Demand Ransom | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paddybdancing | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.