August 9, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Buckstopper Kit | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Platinum Equity | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | So Long Sailor | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jack and I | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | He’s Like Violence | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Typhoon Harry | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lolly Express | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bitte | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Gentrified | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Monterey Shale | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Calvert Street | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sense of Glory | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stormin Monarcho | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Radish | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Has Angel Wings | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Weather Market | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unusual Gold | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Into Rissa | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dashing Debut | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Crossing | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charmingslew | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lookie Loo | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Conqueror | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sheer Flattery | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ike Walker | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Giant Influence | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Chalky (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sensible Thoughts | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Party Dancer | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Take a Leap | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heaven Escape | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Halo Girl | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | K P Pergoliscious (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ten Count Out | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Lemon Drop | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | San Giorgio | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Agronomo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Just Hit Play | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Asaltante | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | All About Trump | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jonathantoquick | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Anvil Rock | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Siculo | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Baja Warrior | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Poppy’s C Note | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bold At Night | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Donut Girl | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bobbie Lincoln | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hailey Rachele | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Helen’s Tiger | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Meet My Kitty | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Pretty | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maycee Jo | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warm It Up | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rockandahardplace | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Flashy Shaq | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Palladium | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | The Creep | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Unplayable | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Salah | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Bingley | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Boisterous Boy | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Don Ramon | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Isn’t Right | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.