August 18, 2018 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Quenane | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Indian Scout | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chepstow | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dizzy Gillespie | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Good and Proper | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chiseled | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cheech Thunder | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Diamond Square | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gentle Johnny | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Piloting | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | J R ‘s Holiday | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Trouble in Phoenix | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flowmotion | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bingo Bango Bongo | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Perfect Tay | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Billy Big (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Powerline | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seuss | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unikat | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Persimmon Pass | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dream On Jilly | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Britesideoftheroad | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tong Shu | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Juanandora | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Begin | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | With Me Without Me | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Me Gusta Papi | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | J P’s Rose | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Mambo | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cap Gun | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | R Baby Driver | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kanaris | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cape Marco Drive | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Aghost to the Post | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nation U S A | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clear Sky | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Home Power | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | El Emanuel | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Loose Note | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Diablo Rojo | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | False Accusation | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Escribiente | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Arpinella | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mosca | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Schweets | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Motatan | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sanad | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gran Network | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Miserable | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cleave | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shrew Grit | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | R Boy Bode | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Unequal | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Running for Riz | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fireman Fred | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cash On Hand | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hard Belle | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Street Code | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | What Power | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flashy Chelsey | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Til the End | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Could Be | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gray Dude | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Son of Oahu | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Porter Street | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Just the Facts | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Train | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fontanazza | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Right On | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | She Nailed It | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bun Bun | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aunt Betty | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Derby Day Darling | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wiggle It Jiggleit | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Momma Tries | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Casual Caro | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucille Bull | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Prado Vision | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Vendita | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Aquemini | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Snirvana (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Teri’s Big Heart | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Starship Tribbles | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | La Vie Ross | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Nile Rising | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Heavenly Grace | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sweet Story | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Colonels Daughter | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Homeboy | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Florida Two Step | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Loudon’s Song | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jamaican | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Soldat War | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chinomado | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Goldenlineof | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | So Nifty | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Micah Man | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Honolulu Express | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Guerreron | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arago | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Barely Even S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Spanish Harlem | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oola Gal | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Weekend Mischief | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magalie | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | First Distinction | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Cousin Martha | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Amaluna | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Motivate | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Faith N Hope | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Show Biz Liz | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | She’sabig Machine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Beautiful Gladys | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Legend | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Venezuelan Spirit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Princess Zoe | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Surely Temple | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Three Questions | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Rigel’s Halo | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Peggity | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Rate of Return | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Not Nice | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Winnie | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Casimira | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Boastful Contessa | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Soroa | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.