September 22, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ian Glass | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Throw Down | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Hubba Bubba | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kentucky Wildcat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bridgetothefuture | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Halladay | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | War Detonator | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twelfthofneverland | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Junkanoo | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One Mission | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Other Kessler | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Seismic Wave | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gearhead | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Favorable Outcome | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Exulting | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Small Bear | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Outplay | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Backsideofthemoon | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Course Correction | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rhode Island | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Teryn It Up | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mini P (IRE) | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shiny Copper Penny | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Mans Land | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mead Hall | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Noble Damsel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mythical Mission | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lift Up | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Uni (GB) | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dream Awhile | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hawksmoor (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Thundering Sky | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Mr. Wonderful | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cross Multiply | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Devilry | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magnetron | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | High Conviction | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Raging Fire | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Toga | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Vow Is Lit | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Victory’s Cash | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Yabo | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flat Out Jayvien | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Excluded | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Nigel’s Destiny | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Rockford | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Expected Ruler | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | War Stroll | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Poshsky | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Blackjack Baby | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Get a Valentine | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Bow Tie Affair | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Canarsie Kid | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Mongo Nation | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cerretalto | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wine Not | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Have Another | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Timber Ghost | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mac Jagger | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Capitaine | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lazarus Project | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Kelso H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Battle of Midway | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sunny Ridge | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Timeline | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Dozing | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Patternrecognition | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Realm | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Still Having Fun | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Forever Daisy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Two Hot Betty | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sweet August Lady | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Questeq | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Romantic Babe | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Animauxselle | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scat Gal | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Tiz Priceless | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Havana Affair | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alley to Calvary | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emerald Quality | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15A | 15 | Hit a Provisional | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Super Mama | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | My Victoria Rose | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16A | 16 | Chutzpah | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Unparalleled | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Reconsider It | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Quietly Quick | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paz the Wine | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Truly Courageous | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Nazay | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Smart Throb | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Ma Mo | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Catania Rose | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Magical Romance | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Saturdaynightfling | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Fox Tree | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.