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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 20, 2018

October 20, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Above Board 1.60 2.8 5-1
4 4 Kona Dreams 3.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Freddies Dream 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 I’m Ready to Roll 2.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Air Pocket 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 South Americain 15.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Save Ground 1.80 2.6 5-1
5 5 Six Point Rack 2.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 The Street Fighter 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Jet Set Ruler 4.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Highlight Show 4.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 New Karma 8.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rinse and Repeat 1.40 2.1 4-1
1 1 Kershaw 1.60 2.8 5-1
4 4 Pocket Personality 3.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 It’s Tiz Time 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 June Two Four 8.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Wild Verse 1.80 2.1 4-1
6 6 Friendly Steve 3.50 3.2 6-1
9 9 Lucky Wally 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Grand Minister 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Shadow of War 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 June Sixth 10.00 6 11-1
5 5 Serve Me a Double 10.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Derby Factor 10.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 The Chadinator 30.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – California Flag H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tribalist 2.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Richard’s Boy 0.60 1.9 4-1
5 4 Eddie Haskell 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 5 Brandothebartender 12.00 3.4 6-1
2 1 P Club 30.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 Mason B 50.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Wicked Sunset 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Sharona Sunset 2.00 2.1 4-1
7 6 Swallows Inn Gal 3.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Baby Ice 2.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Dressed in Prada 3.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 As a Rule 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Fellina 30.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bellazano 12.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Posh Holly (IRE) 2.00 2.7 5-1
9 8 Ask the Customer 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Fairy Tale Bliss 4.00 3.4 7-1
7 6 Shes All Woman 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Mercy Mercy 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Flying Blue 10.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Hurley 12.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Unbridled Huntress 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Older Brother 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Ninety Nine Proof 2.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Fire to the Wire 4.00 2.9 6-1
8 7 Tough But Nice 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 King Abner 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Tanners Pride 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Minoso 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Hot Perfection 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Vantastic 2.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Storms River 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Platinum Nights 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Temple Secret 5.00 4 8-1
7 7 Bob and Jackie 6.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Volubile 6.00 6 11-1
4 4 Afleeting Life 10.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Bold Endeavor 12.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Indy Jones 20.00 8.2 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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