October 21, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Moneigh Moproblems | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Somebody | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Union Wise | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ajwibah | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tom’s Music | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cain V and D C | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flat Out Jayvien | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dig Deeper | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Moviemaker | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Aspen Summer | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Tapin Through Life | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4A | 4 | Circleofcompetence | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6A | 4 | Merger Arbitrage | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Asticou Trail | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Kingdom’s Queen | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Stylishly | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Grayjavu | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Know Point Given | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Point to Remember | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Sanavi | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Storm Prophet | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Zing Zang | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sargeant Drive | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hollywood Strike | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Minit Maus | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Jot | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Niko’s Dream | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mike’s Girl | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Button Candy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Gunboat Diplomacy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Street Chamber | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Valencia Vale | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 4 | Saloon Girl | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Winifred J | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 16 | 8 | Thatza Prankster | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 5 | Mz Seb Pat | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Whodunnitandran | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 15 | 7 | Lem Me Have It | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 6 | Fight On Lucy | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Antiguan Princess | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ribbonite | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Wilburnmoney | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Awsum Roar | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Enthusiastic Gal | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Esther the Queen | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Atlas | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grandpa’s Arianna | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | It’s Two Hot Benny | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Banty’s Girl | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Carlisle Belle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lune Lake | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Gentle Annie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5A | 4 | Samara | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12A | 11 | Jazzy Juder | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tiz Priceless | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bella’s Game | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rock Ave. Road | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Truly Courageous | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forever Daisy | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Merlins Muse | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shanghai Dreams | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Third Card Down | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Discreet Cathy | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bigsouljoel | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Flatexcel | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carmine’s Honor | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Nolinski | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Altesino | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pirate’s Treasure | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiffany’s Vision | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The I Man | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Athenia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Candy Store (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mythical Mission | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | New Money Honey | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hawksmoor (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Inflexibility | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | On Leave | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rymska (FR) | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Indian Blessing (GB) | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pas de Soucis (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Best Performance | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Madame Barbarian | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Goodbye Brockley | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Ferdinanda | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Competitionofideas | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Jaunt | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Fairy Link | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Filfila | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Sweet Sting | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Aikenetta | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.