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Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 21, 2018

October 21, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Pink Elephant 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Miss Nosy 2.50 SCRATCH
7 6 Talkless Smilemore 3.50 1.9 4-1
8 7 Bonita Springs 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Boomerang Miss 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Meow 4.50 5 9-1
9 8 Secret Or Not 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Ultimate Avary 8.00 5.6 10-1
3 3 Shifra Magician 8.00 5.9 11-1
11 10 Delightful Lana 8.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Sugar Cane Girl 12.00 7.2 14-1
10 9 Floating By 15.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Koala Bear 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Monumental Vending 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 My Good Man 3.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Bulland 15.00 SCRATCH
14 12 King Orb 1.80 2.5 5-1
1 1 Tapit High 4.50 2.9 6-1
5 4 Inle 5.00 4 8-1
10 8 King’s Pawn 5.00 4.4 8-1
12 10 Kilronan 6.00 5.2 10-1
8 6 Real Factor 8.00 5.7 11-1
13 11 Art of Listening 12.00 7.4 14-1
9 7 Rumors of Violence 6.00 7.6 14-1
3 2 Railmaster 15.00 8.4 16-1
11 9 Road to Oz 12.00 8.5 16-1
4 3 Bourbon Streak 20.00 8.7 16-1
7 5 Haz a Notion 20.00 9.2 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mandel 2.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 His Royal Majesty 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Menacing 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Blame the Kids 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Redneck Cowboy 5.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Roman Warrior 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Super Vision 30.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Speight’s Comete 2.00 SCRATCH
1 1 You Made It 2.50 2.7 5-1
3 2 Sunday Red 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 Raging Blaze 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Kentucky Smooth 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Shake D Moon 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 Goldiluck 15.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 A Great Time 2.50 2 4-1
10 10 Scattered Thoughts (IRE) 4.50 2.9 6-1
6 6 Beach Diva 5.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Soar From Shadows 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Proudly 8.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Firth 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Adult in the Room 10.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Head for the Shore 15.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Total Temper 20.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 High Sierra 15.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Go Metro Girl 20.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Facts Don’t Matter 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Ellanation 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 4 Variance 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Waiting for a Star 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 7 Super Twenty Five 2.50 4 8-1
1 1 Derk 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Mo Margarita 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Fairy Wish 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Pearl Gem 6.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Subtle Step 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Well Blessed 5.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Darcy Mae 5.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Fort Love 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Galileo’s Melody 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Sweet Turn 10.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Theodora B. 6.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Pebble Road 12.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Jokers Tothe Right 20.00 8 15-1
10 10 Lunar Rille 20.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Samurai Song 15.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Blue Y Gold (ARG) 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Mesotherm 1.60 3.7 7-1
6 6 Glindas Good Karma 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 High Roller 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Chief of Staff 12.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Homespun Hero 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Wild Rider 8.00 6 11-1
3 3 Resiliency 10.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Ballivor 15.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Big Bella Brown 20.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Sir Orinoco 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Keep Talking 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Triple Burner 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Braxton 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Jarvis Steel 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Nice Tune 12.00 SCRATCH
9 4 Oldies But Goodies 3.00 2.2 4-1
10 5 More Abundance 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 1 Robey’s Boy 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 3 Mongo Nation 15.00 4 8-1
7 2 Cobh 15.00 4.4 8-1
11 6 Papal Law 15.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Hip Hop 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 More to Adore 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Lady Vicki 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 War Queen (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Hot Friesia 12.00 SCRATCH
7 4 Bells Irish Fancy 3.50 1.8 3-1
3 2 Miss Bob 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 3 Star Flare 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 The Real Lefty 12.00 4.3 8-1
12 7 Sweetly Maid 10.00 4.4 8-1
8 5 Scarfree 20.00 5.8 11-1
11 6 Miss Jane 12.00 6 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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