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Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 24, 2018

October 24, 2018 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Duchess Annie 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Riesling 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Catkins 1.80 3.3 6-1
1 1 Christa’s Kitten 15.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Courageous Heart 10.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Try This 12.00 4.5 9-1
8 7 Shackleford County 2.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Vindisound 15.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 1 Storm Stride 3.00 SCRATCH
1A 7 Elsie’s Honor 8.00 SCRATCH
7 5 Headland 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 4 Proud Emma 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 2 Royal Angel 5.00 3.8 7-1
2B 10 Sheflew 12.00 4.8 9-1
2 6 Sweet Alternative 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Kelly’s Agenda 5.00 5.5 10-1
10 9 Anditsafact 5.00 6.2 12-1
6 3 Carina 15.00 7 13-1
9 8 Moonflower 12.00 7.3 14-1
4 1 Infinite Zest 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Blazen Betsy 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Navajo Dreamer (IRE) 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Trace 4.50 4.1 8-1
8 8 Saranda 3.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Ultima D 6.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Sensible Myth 5.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Girl’s Night 15.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Grogger 30.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Villa Savina (IRE) 10.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Alizee 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Moonfield 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Miss Systematic 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Semper Frey 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Paynter Up Mauk 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Shesomajestic 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Special for You 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Just Perfection 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Sugar Love 8.00 5 9-1
11 10 Play On 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 4 Summer Delivery 15.00 6.5 12-1
12 11 Take Me Home 8.00 6.9 13-1
9 8 Upgrade Me 10.00 7.3 14-1
10 9 Insane Maclean 12.00 7.4 14-1
7 6 Bohemian Bourbon 15.00 7.6 14-1
8 7 Empress Sophia 15.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Spotitude 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Naples Trader 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Rain Drop Kid 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Daringly Bold 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Gettysburg 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Halite 3.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Blowin Smoke 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 3 Lookin At Blessing 15.00 5 10-1
11 8 One Thirty Nine 6.00 5.1 10-1
10 7 Al Taweel 8.00 6.2 12-1
9 6 Operator 30.00 7.4 14-1
12 9 City Life 20.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Sippin Kitten 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Lady Beware (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Deadline 6.00 SCRATCH
1A 14 Silver Shaker 4.00 SCRATCH
2B 13 Tropical Wave 8.00 SCRATCH
1 2 Kallio 4.00 2 4-1
2 9 Over Thinking 8.00 4 8-1
7 5 Tamit (IRE) 4.00 4.2 8-1
9 7 Rahway 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 3 April Fifteenth 15.00 4.8 9-1
3 1 Sweet Oats 20.00 5.5 10-1
10 8 Blossom Trail Miss 5.00 6.2 12-1
6 4 Vanilla Cat 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 6 Little Irishdancer 30.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 5 Eight Town 2.50 SCRATCH
2 1 Majestic Affair 2.00 2.3 4-1
1 4 Holiday Stone 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Balandeen 2.50 3.9 7-1
3 2 Mr Ashley 15.00 4 8-1
6 6 Hot Shot Kid 3.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Cutler 20.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Lion’s Share 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Supercell 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Timbrook 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Callmecash 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Trouble Coffee 10.00 SCRATCH
2 1 St. Denman 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 5 Preacher Power 6.00 3.7 7-1
10 9 Teryn It Up 3.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 Untraceable 15.00 5.4 10-1
8 7 Piocho 12.00 5.8 11-1
9 8 Sailing Solo 6.00 5.9 11-1
12 11 Antarctic 6.00 6.4 12-1
5 4 Apreciado 20.00 6.6 12-1
3 2 Ammunition 30.00 6.9 13-1
7 6 Solar Warming 15.00 7.1 13-1
11 10 Drayke’s Channel 20.00 9.1 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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