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Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 27, 2018

October 27, 2018 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Precious Luck 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Estrela Cadente 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Tiz Little Bull 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Undivided 3.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 Dylan Did It 6.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Fashion Envy 4.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Cash Register 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Moonfield 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Princess Daniela 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Free Fora Fee 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Lake Girl 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Gato Style 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bird Traffic 3.00 2.9 5-1
6 5 Almyra 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Kissin Kory 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Mrs Poochie 10.00 5.1 10-1
12 11 Hawt Mess 4.00 5.1 10-1
9 8 So Dramatic 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Flashy Biz 15.00 5.7 11-1
5 4 Starvana 10.00 6 11-1
10 9 Kimberley Dream 12.00 7.9 15-1
11 10 Whiskarita 15.00 8 15-1
7 6 Forever Shining 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Musical America 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Parauari (FR) 4.50 2.9 6-1
7 7 Tapsolute 1.80 3.9 7-1
4 4 Sekondi 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Indium 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Quiet Dude 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Fulkerson 10.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jo Jo Air 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Snoose Goose 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Tweezer (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Fake Solution 5.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Off to Broadway 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Roughin the City 12.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Philosophy 5.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Corruze 15.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Valid Exchange 8.00 4.1 8-1
9 7 Bourbon in May 3.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Kinetic Swagger 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Inda Zone 10.00 4.6 9-1
5 4 Idaho Tornado 15.00 5.4 10-1
10 8 Henry’s Bend 15.00 7.4 14-1
11 9 Where’s Oliver 15.00 8.2 16-1
12 10 Logical Myth 15.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Warrior’s Charge 8.00 SCRATCH
6 5 So Alive 2.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Tapizars Secret 2.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Bundibunan 12.00 4 8-1
2 2 Ourbestfriend D L 8.00 4.1 8-1
9 8 Ready and Rich 4.00 4.6 9-1
5 4 Incorrigible 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Millwood 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 Grenadier 12.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lady Boots 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Kantastic 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 She’s a Fine Line 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Sea Shack 12.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 Mischievious Lass 2.50 3.7 7-1
10 7 Castle Ridge 2.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Showed Up Late 12.00 4 7-1
4 3 Despina 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 6 Kaylen’s Revenge 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 Go Stellaire 15.00 5.6 11-1
11 8 Spring Break Girls 20.00 7.4 14-1
12 9 Tortuga Rio 20.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Credit Swap 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Dynamic Racer 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Stage Left 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Most Mischief 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Baytown Jimbo 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Yodel E. A. Who 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Maximum Force 50.00 SCRATCH
4 2 All American Hero 3.00 2.5 5-1
10 7 Junkanoo 2.50 3.8 7-1
5 3 Faraway Kitten 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 6 English Bee 5.00 4.9 9-1
6 4 Ready to Forgive 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 1 Pradar 30.00 5.2 10-1
12 8 Go Away 10.00 5.2 10-1
7 5 Cardinal Coach Mac 15.00 6.5 12-1
14 9 Landofthepharaohs 12.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 All Hansens Ondeck 30.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Silver Dust 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 1 Travelling Midas 5.00 3.4 6-1
3 2 Midnight Pleasure 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Amiral 3.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Mac Jagger 3.50 3.8 7-1
5 4 Ballard High 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 Extricate 15.00 7 13-1
10 9 Firehorn 20.00 7.5 14-1
9 8 Giant Honor 30.00 7.7 15-1
11 10 J. S. Choice 30.00 8.5 16-1
12 11 Caloric 30.00 9.7 18-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Hagyard Fayette S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Prime Attraction 2.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Leofric 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Nice Not Nice 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Hofburg 2.50 4.5 8-1
3 3 Hence 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Scuba 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Rated R Superstar 10.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5A 5 Smart Shot 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Backintheacademy 6.00 SCRATCH
7 6 I Remember Mama 2.00 3.5 7-1
4A 4 Coachwhip 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Pop By 20.00 4.5 8-1
9 8 English Dancer 3.50 4.6 9-1
6 5 Esquisse (GB) 4.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Drinks On Me 15.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Roussalka 20.00 5.9 11-1
10 9 Mutabaahyia 6.00 6.6 12-1
8 7 Fonda Romana 20.00 6.8 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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