November 18, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | McIlhenny | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Anang | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Attitude Ajustment | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ladygogently | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Mallory | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nola Three Hundred | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Honduras Girl | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | It’s Kisses | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 8 | From Now On | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Northshorecorredor | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Perin the Pirate | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Half Blink | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 1 | I Run for Three | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Juneberris Sound | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smartica Song | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Church of England | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Last of the Luck | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Savvy Shipman | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 14 | Sweet Pea Mama Ve | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 5 | Half Fast Rose | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | B’s Ten | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Smiley Briley | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Champagne Diva | 4.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spartanburg | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Toodaloo to You | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lurey An | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Katiebmeister | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Too Bad Chu | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Leavem Britten | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vanishing Image | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gabby’s Half | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Clever Racer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Beaubouef | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dude Greeley | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jackpot Johnny | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sobriquiet | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Release the Beast | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Legal Holiday | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Half of Tip Tap | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Lorette | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cypress Point | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caliente Candy | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Play On | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Breezing Bye | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Matt’s Honey | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hatchet Lady | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Scatrattleandroll | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ice Ghost | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ravenel | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Freedom Passage | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Phat and Fast | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Real Time | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scarlettsblackjack | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ty C | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Tristan | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mikey’s Mouse | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Blinkey | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 11 | Haynesfest | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Divine Quality | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Flat Meadow | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Silla Manila | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jing | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Alfresco | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Indygita | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Brenda’s Fever | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Santino | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cause Me Grief | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sarabi | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Happy Ticket Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Miss Chiff | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | P Boo | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shakopee Town | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ours to Run | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Light Her Up | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yes Gorgeous | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dixie Brees | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Believeinsomething | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Clear as Day | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Jo Jo Air | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | She’s Divine | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Serious Steam | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nerissa | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Insane Maclean | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Just in the Moment | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ginny B | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bonita Bay | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Temple of Roses | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Marvella | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.