November 22, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lil Kylie | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speak Briley | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arch’s Li’l Nieta | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Interslew | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Charlotte’s Wish | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toga Dance | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Lady’s Prayer | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Time Key | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Liz’s Legend | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tube Sox Rock | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | So Dramatic | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Senorita Tapit | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Perfection | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Squatchingwithlyss | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kinky Kim | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cooler Schedule | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Khaleesi’s Gift | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Weavemeawinr | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hannah Banana | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Creole Wildfire | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Much to Do | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | L. A. Ready | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | L L L College Fund | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Daylight Deelite | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cheryl’s Copy | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thats Roger Song | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Addaichi | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Vinyl | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | No Boundaries | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Great Sky | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | My Man Jax | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Causeur | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Guitar King | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jonamin | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bevolution | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Go for Moonshine | 10.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Operator | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Where Y’at Joe Joe | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | State Treasurer | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | John’s Luck | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zenucci | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Farewell Time | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Masterly | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queeten | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | C Islandsurprise | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dubara (GB) | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hey Negrita | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Little Code | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amity | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Superioritycomplex (IRE) | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ruby Sioux | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | N. D. Free | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roussalka | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Girl Rocket | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | In Charge Annie | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Angel | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sacred Lady | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Gemma | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Neva’s Gal | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oxbowindy | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eres Tu | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nate’s Attack | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Reverend Aj | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Ecru | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Zumurudee | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Twoko Bay | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Broth | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Harlan Selection (ARG) | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Prolific | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Alittlevodka | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Kingsville | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Kitten Street | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Thanksgiving H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kid Perfect | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Balandeen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | C Z Rocket | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wynn Time | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Switzerland | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Colonelsdarktemper | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Chublicious | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rivers Run Deep | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Proforma | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Majestic Affair | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Chuck Willis (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Hawaiian Noises | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mine Inspector | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tom’s Last General | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Drew’s Shot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Credit Swap | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gins and Tins | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wakefield | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Assemblyman | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | All American Hero | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Chroniqueur | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ice Peak | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | E Rated | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Giant Mesa | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.