November 25, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Summer | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Diva’s Ransom | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Wind | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miso Smooth | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Cruising | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Electric Kiss | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Titanium Girl | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Yonna She Goes | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | La Flor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Big Blue Magic | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aubrey | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pugilist | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Leavem Britten | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | No Cacha Na (CHI) | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Word of the Day | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Se Fue | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jo Jo’s Wine | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nola Fashion | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pam’s Meadow | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mill Falls | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Girls Life | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tenpins Tempo | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moment of Grace | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Exotica | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Noble Love | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Smila’ssenseofsnow | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reflected | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Slimey | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Street Band | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Street Conscious | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cookies Are Good | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Paddy’s Notes | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flatter the Queen | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hatties Jewel | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cordero (IRE) | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blue Wings | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | One Kind of Crazy | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Vincitore | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Arch of Ages | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tapit City | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | High Providence | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Thunder Mesa | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 2 | Shared Value | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Dr. Baskin | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Indium | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Fast Boat | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Bigb’s Anniversary | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rogueish | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swordsman | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Soap Bubble | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Survey | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jerrys Pridenjoy | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Noble Companion | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One for Richie | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charming Bullet | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cade’s On the Bump | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | The Craic | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dance Rhythms | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Golden Days | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tudox Lifting Off | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Psalmody | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | D’boldest | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | La Dame Blanche | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Game Time Decision | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Starving Artist | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Sandstorm | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | Ms. D’s Last Storm | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Flashy Em | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brad’s Wager | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freakonthelead | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Itsthebourbontalkn | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reigning Warrior | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sarge N Charge | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mosta Flyin | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.